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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Minnehaha, SD · ZIP 57103 · Census Tract 46099001805 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$399K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$443K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$545K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $274K | $272K | $314K | $344K | $377K | $399K | $411K | $431K | $443K |
| YoY Change | -0.6% | +15.5% | +9.6% | +9.6% | +5.6% | +3.1% | +5.1% | +2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $351K | $350K | $367K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $469K | $509K | $545K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$351K to $469K
28.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$367K to $545K
40.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls | $385K | $443K | +15.1% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001901) | $360K | $410K | +14.1% | |
| Sioux Falls area | $381K | $433K | +13.6% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001112) | $404K | $442K | +9.2% | |
| Wayne | $375K | $384K | +2.5% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001806) | $388K | $396K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls | $385K | $443K | +15.1% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001804) | $292K | $344K | +18.0% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001600) | $348K | $400K | +14.9% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000500) | $175K | $201K | +14.4% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001901) | $360K | $410K | +14.1% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001107) | $279K | $317K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls | $385K | $443K | $178K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000900) | $180K | $194K | $103K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000100) | $183K | $194K | $96K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000300) | $147K | $162K | $93K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001002) | $121K | $135K | $61K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001001) | $96K | $104K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.