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Minnehaha, SD · ZIP 57103 · Census Tract 46099000401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$222K
Downside (P10)
$198K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$235K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$347K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $117K | $126K | $132K | $141K | $146K | $157K | $189K | $204K | $220K | $222K | $224K | $233K | $235K | $230K |
| YoY Change | -2.1% | +7.2% | +4.7% | +6.6% | +3.8% | +7.6% | +20.5% | +7.7% | +7.9% | +0.9% | +1.2% | +4.1% | +0.7% | -2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $198K | $200K | $198K | $206K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $277K | $323K | $347K | $259K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$198K to $277K
35.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$206K to $259K
23.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls · 57103 · (Tract 4.1) | $220K | $235K | +6.7% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000201) | $204K | $228K | +11.5% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001110) | $213K | $236K | +10.9% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000406) | $230K | $248K | +8.0% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001501) | $207K | $219K | +5.8% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 010600) | $224K | $225K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls · 57103 · (Tract 4.1) | $220K | $235K | +6.7% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001804) | $292K | $344K | +18.0% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001805) | $385K | $443K | +15.1% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001600) | $348K | $400K | +14.9% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000500) | $175K | $201K | +14.4% | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001901) | $360K | $410K | +14.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls · 57103 · (Tract 4.1) | $220K | $235K | $149K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000900) | $180K | $194K | $103K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000100) | $183K | $194K | $96K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 000300) | $147K | $162K | $93K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001002) | $121K | $135K | $61K | |
| Sioux Falls (Tract 001001) | $96K | $104K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.