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Arecibo Municipio, PR · ZIP 00688 · Census Tract 72013302202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$141K
Downside (P10)
$115K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$143K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$204K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $100K | $103K | $105K | $100K | $98K | $99K | $126K | $115K | $124K | $140K | $141K | $141K | $142K | $143K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$40,941 | -$37,541 | -$35,841 | -$41,041 | -$42,841 | -$41,441 | -$14,241 | -$25,841 | -$16,741 | -$841 | -$90 | +$1,029 | +$1,969 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.1% | -26.7% | -25.5% | -29.2% | -30.5% | -29.5% | -10.1% | -18.4% | -11.9% | -0.6% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +1.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $123K | $119K | $115K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $173K | $191K | $204K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$123K to $173K
35.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$115K to $204K
62.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $141K | $143K | +1.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300500) | $141K | $150K | +6.5% | |
| Garrochales | $140K | $148K | +5.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301000) | $124K | $131K | +5.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301500) | $145K | $151K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $141K | $143K | +1.4% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301300) | $94K | $104K | +9.9% | |
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300700) | $89K | $98K | +9.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $141K | $143K | $89K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300400) | $97K | $100K | $57K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301100) | $117K | $125K | $55K | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301200) | $105K | $112K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301400) | $90K | $93K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Arecibo Municipio, PR · ZIP 00688 · Census Tract 72013302202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$141K
Downside (P10)
$115K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$143K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$204K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $100K | $103K | $105K | $100K | $98K | $99K | $126K | $115K | $124K | $140K | $141K | $141K | $142K | $143K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$40,941 | -$37,541 | -$35,841 | -$41,041 | -$42,841 | -$41,441 | -$14,241 | -$25,841 | -$16,741 | -$841 | -$90 | +$1,029 | +$1,969 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.1% | -26.7% | -25.5% | -29.2% | -30.5% | -29.5% | -10.1% | -18.4% | -11.9% | -0.6% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +1.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $123K | $119K | $115K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $173K | $191K | $204K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$123K to $173K
35.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$115K to $204K
62.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $141K | $143K | +1.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300500) | $141K | $150K | +6.5% | |
| Garrochales | $140K | $148K | +5.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301000) | $124K | $131K | +5.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301500) | $145K | $151K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $141K | $143K | +1.4% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301300) | $94K | $104K | +9.9% | |
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300700) | $89K | $98K | +9.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $141K | $143K | $89K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300400) | $97K | $100K | $57K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301100) | $117K | $125K | $55K | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301200) | $105K | $112K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301400) | $90K | $93K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
