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Arecibo Municipio, PR · ZIP 00652 · Census Tract 72013300102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$142K
Downside (P10)
$116K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$148K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$195K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $104K | $95K | $98K | $98K | $98K | $99K | $100K | $116K | $125K | $140K | $142K | $147K | $146K | $148K | $145K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$38,228 | -$47,128 | -$44,128 | -$44,128 | -$44,328 | -$43,128 | -$42,628 | -$26,328 | -$16,928 | -$1,828 | +$4,488 | +$3,390 | +$5,632 | +$2,602 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -26.9% | -33.2% | -31.0% | -31.0% | -31.2% | -30.3% | -30.0% | -18.5% | -11.9% | -1.3% | +3.2% | +2.4% | +4.0% | +1.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $124K | $117K | $116K | $130K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $174K | $190K | $195K | $164K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$124K to $174K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$130K to $164K
23.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrochales | $140K | $148K | +5.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300500) | $141K | $150K | +6.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301000) | $124K | $131K | +5.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301500) | $145K | $151K | +4.7% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $141K | $143K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrochales | $140K | $148K | +5.8% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301300) | $94K | $104K | +9.9% | |
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300700) | $89K | $98K | +9.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrochales | $140K | $148K | $79K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300400) | $97K | $100K | $57K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301100) | $117K | $125K | $55K | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301200) | $105K | $112K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301400) | $90K | $93K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Arecibo Municipio, PR · ZIP 00652 · Census Tract 72013300102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$142K
Downside (P10)
$116K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$148K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$195K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $104K | $95K | $98K | $98K | $98K | $99K | $100K | $116K | $125K | $140K | $142K | $147K | $146K | $148K | $145K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$38,228 | -$47,128 | -$44,128 | -$44,128 | -$44,328 | -$43,128 | -$42,628 | -$26,328 | -$16,928 | -$1,828 | +$4,488 | +$3,390 | +$5,632 | +$2,602 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -26.9% | -33.2% | -31.0% | -31.0% | -31.2% | -30.3% | -30.0% | -18.5% | -11.9% | -1.3% | +3.2% | +2.4% | +4.0% | +1.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $124K | $117K | $116K | $130K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $174K | $190K | $195K | $164K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$124K to $174K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$130K to $164K
23.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrochales | $140K | $148K | +5.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300500) | $141K | $150K | +6.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301000) | $124K | $131K | +5.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301500) | $145K | $151K | +4.7% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $141K | $143K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrochales | $140K | $148K | +5.8% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301300) | $94K | $104K | +9.9% | |
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300700) | $89K | $98K | +9.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrochales | $140K | $148K | $79K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300400) | $97K | $100K | $57K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301100) | $117K | $125K | $55K | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301200) | $105K | $112K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301400) | $90K | $93K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
