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Warren, PA · ZIP 16365 · Census Tract 42123971100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$149K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$199K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$304K
+75% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +75%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $113K | $115K | $117K | $125K | $133K | $133K | $143K | $158K | $163K | $174K | $180K | $192K | $199K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$63,237 | -$60,637 | -$58,937 | -$57,037 | -$48,337 | -$40,237 | -$40,337 | -$30,737 | -$15,837 | -$10,837 | +$6,562 | +$18,225 | +$25,954 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.4% | -34.9% | -34.0% | -32.9% | -27.9% | -23.2% | -23.2% | -17.7% | -9.1% | -6.2% | +3.8% | +10.5% | +15.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $148K | $149K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $213K | $249K | $304K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$147K to $213K
36.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$149K to $304K
78.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $169K | $199K | +18.3% | |
| Glade | $185K | $211K | +13.9% | |
| Pine Grove area | $183K | $206K | +12.3% | |
| Spring Creek area | $157K | $173K | +10.0% | |
| Freehold area | $155K | $157K | +1.4% | |
| Mead area | $132K | $134K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $169K | $199K | +18.3% | |
| Warren | $110K | $129K | +17.0% | |
| Triumph area | $86K | $100K | +17.0% | |
| Sheffield area | $82K | $95K | +16.7% | |
| Glade | $185K | $211K | +13.9% | |
| Pine Grove area | $183K | $206K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $169K | $199K | $156K | |
| Warren (Tract 970800) | $120K | $127K | $60K | |
| Sheffield area | $82K | $95K | $60K | |
| Warren (Tract 970700) | $110K | $129K | $57K | |
| Triumph area | $86K | $100K | $57K | |
| Warren (Tract 970900) | $94K | $98K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Warren, PA · ZIP 16365 · Census Tract 42123971100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$174K
Downside (P10)
$149K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$199K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$304K
+75% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +75%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $113K | $115K | $117K | $125K | $133K | $133K | $143K | $158K | $163K | $174K | $180K | $192K | $199K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$63,237 | -$60,637 | -$58,937 | -$57,037 | -$48,337 | -$40,237 | -$40,337 | -$30,737 | -$15,837 | -$10,837 | +$6,562 | +$18,225 | +$25,954 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.4% | -34.9% | -34.0% | -32.9% | -27.9% | -23.2% | -23.2% | -17.7% | -9.1% | -6.2% | +3.8% | +10.5% | +15.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $148K | $149K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $213K | $249K | $304K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$147K to $213K
36.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$149K to $304K
78.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $169K | $199K | +18.3% | |
| Glade | $185K | $211K | +13.9% | |
| Pine Grove area | $183K | $206K | +12.3% | |
| Spring Creek area | $157K | $173K | +10.0% | |
| Freehold area | $155K | $157K | +1.4% | |
| Mead area | $132K | $134K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $169K | $199K | +18.3% | |
| Warren | $110K | $129K | +17.0% | |
| Triumph area | $86K | $100K | +17.0% | |
| Sheffield area | $82K | $95K | +16.7% | |
| Glade | $185K | $211K | +13.9% | |
| Pine Grove area | $183K | $206K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $169K | $199K | $156K | |
| Warren (Tract 970800) | $120K | $127K | $60K | |
| Sheffield area | $82K | $95K | $60K | |
| Warren (Tract 970700) | $110K | $129K | $57K | |
| Triumph area | $86K | $100K | $57K | |
| Warren (Tract 970900) | $94K | $98K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
