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Northampton, PA · ZIP 18064 · Census Tract 42095016802 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$280K
Downside (P10)
$250K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$318K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$408K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $191K | $232K | $269K | $259K | $276K | $280K | $290K | $307K | $318K |
| YoY Change | +21.1% | +15.9% | -3.7% | +6.6% | +1.6% | +3.6% | +5.8% | +3.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $251K | $263K | $250K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $368K | $407K | $408K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$251K to $368K
40.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$250K to $408K
49.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazareth · 18064 · (Tract 168.2) | $280K | $318K | +13.6% | |
| Lehigh | $279K | $323K | +15.8% | |
| Palmer | $275K | $311K | +13.0% | |
| Bethlehem (Tract 010300) | $271K | $298K | +10.0% | |
| Bethlehem (Tract 010100) | $284K | $299K | +5.3% | |
| Middletown | $281K | $292K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazareth · 18064 · (Tract 168.2) | $280K | $318K | +13.6% | |
| Easton | $157K | $183K | +17.1% | |
| Hellertown | $266K | $309K | +15.8% | |
| Lehigh | $279K | $323K | +15.8% | |
| Bethlehem | $309K | $356K | +15.2% | |
| Northampton | $265K | $303K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazareth · 18064 · (Tract 168.2) | $280K | $318K | $158K | |
| Easton | $157K | $183K | $102K | |
| Bethlehem (Tract 010500) | $215K | $243K | $100K | |
| Easton area | $169K | $181K | $97K | |
| Bethlehem (Tract 010900) | $176K | $184K | $96K | |
| Bangor | $187K | $203K | $86K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.