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Montgomery, PA · ZIP 19446 · Census Tract 42091201004 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$404K
Downside (P10)
$303K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$440K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$583K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $285K | $284K | $288K | $309K | $314K | $338K | $343K | $372K | $384K | $408K | $404K | $419K | $424K | $440K | $425K |
| YoY Change | -0.4% | +1.5% | +7.2% | +1.9% | +7.6% | +1.4% | +8.3% | +3.4% | +6.1% | -0.9% | +3.8% | +1.1% | +3.8% | -3.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $339K | $317K | $303K | $374K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $556K | $583K | $470K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$339K to $494K
37.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$374K to $470K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Gwynedd · Lansdale · (Tract 2010.4) | $406K | $440K | +8.4% | |
| Abington | $398K | $433K | +8.6% | |
| Jenkintown | $410K | $431K | +5.0% | |
| Franconia area | $409K | $426K | +4.3% | |
| Towamencin | $411K | $419K | +1.8% | |
| Upper Frederick | $407K | $407K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Gwynedd · Lansdale · (Tract 2010.4) | $406K | $440K | +8.4% | |
| Lower Merion | $903K | $1.09M | +20.7% | |
| Upper Merion | $660K | $796K | +20.6% | |
| Norristown | $229K | $272K | +18.7% | |
| East Norriton | $335K | $397K | +18.5% | |
| Wyncote | $470K | $555K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper Gwynedd · Lansdale · (Tract 2010.4) | $406K | $440K | $281K | |
| Norristown (Tract 203601) | $179K | $184K | $96K | |
| Norristown (Tract 203901) | $162K | $180K | $91K | |
| Pottstown (Tract 208901) | $212K | $227K | $83K | |
| Pottstown (Tract 208801) | $176K | $189K | $73K | |
| Pottstown (Tract 208904) | $127K | $136K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.