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Montgomery, PA · ZIP 19035 · Census Tract 42091204800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.41M
Downside (P10)
$1.08M
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.39M
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.17M
+54% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $866K | $874K | $886K | $953K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +0.9% | +1.4% | +7.6% | +5.4% | +8.6% | +6.2% | +10.5% | +7.3% | +3.2% | -0.5% | +0.7% | -0.2% | -1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.1M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $2.1M | $2.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$1.17M to $1.73M
40.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.08M to $2.17M
78.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Merion | $1.43M | $1.39M | -2.8% | |
| Lower Merion (Tract 205401) | $903K | $1.09M | +20.7% | |
| Lower Merion (Tract 205200) | $1.20M | $1.32M | +10.3% | |
| Lower Merion (Tract 205100) | $991K | $1.05M | +6.2% | |
| Lower Merion (Tract 205402) | $933K | $974K | +4.4% | |
| Lower Merion (Tract 204900) | $1.09M | $1.13M | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Merion | $1.43M | $1.39M | -2.8% | |
| Lower Merion | $903K | $1.09M | +20.7% | |
| Upper Merion | $660K | $796K | +20.6% | |
| Norristown | $229K | $272K | +18.7% | |
| East Norriton | $335K | $397K | +18.5% | |
| Wyncote | $470K | $555K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower Merion | $1.43M | $1.39M | $1.09M | |
| Norristown (Tract 203601) | $179K | $184K | $96K | |
| Norristown (Tract 203901) | $162K | $180K | $91K | |
| Pottstown (Tract 208901) | $212K | $227K | $83K | |
| Pottstown (Tract 208801) | $176K | $189K | $73K | |
| Pottstown (Tract 208904) | $127K | $136K | $56K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.