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Mercer, PA · ZIP 16125 · Census Tract 42085032000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$164K
Downside (P10)
$146K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$184K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$220K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $90K | $91K | $96K | $119K | $114K | $113K | $116K | $129K | $132K | $162K | $164K | $166K | $176K | $184K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | +4.8% | +24.3% | -4.3% | -0.7% | +2.9% | +11.0% | +1.9% | +23.3% | +1.1% | +1.1% | +6.1% | +4.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $150K | $142K | $146K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $194K | $213K | $220K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$150K to $194K
26.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$146K to $220K
40.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Salem | $165K | $184K | +11.5% | |
| Sandy Lake | $155K | $173K | +11.5% | |
| Grove City | $173K | $193K | +11.5% | |
| Lackawannock | $168K | $183K | +8.5% | |
| Sandy Creek area | $162K | $175K | +8.0% | |
| Findley | $167K | $179K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Salem | $165K | $184K | +11.5% | |
| Hermitage (Tract 031100) | $108K | $127K | +18.3% | |
| Delaware | $178K | $204K | +14.6% | |
| Worth area | $223K | $253K | +13.3% | |
| Reynolds Heights | $114K | $128K | +12.6% | |
| Hermitage (Tract 031400) | $190K | $214K | +12.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Salem | $165K | $184K | $74K | |
| Farrell (Tract 030900) | $91K | $95K | $53K | |
| Sharon (Tract 030500) | $73K | $81K | $47K | |
| Sharon (Tract 030300) | $65K | $68K | $45K | |
| Farrell (Tract 033400) | $69K | $74K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.