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Luzerne, PA · ZIP 18704 · Census Tract 42079213000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$171K
Downside (P10)
$150K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$186K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$235K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $115K | $118K | $120K | $112K | $121K | $131K | $148K | $166K | $167K | $171K | $176K | $183K | $186K |
| YoY Change | -3.3% | +3.0% | +1.2% | -6.7% | +8.5% | +8.5% | +12.3% | +12.2% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +2.9% | +4.1% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $158K | $151K | $150K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $205K | $219K | $235K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$158K to $205K
27.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$150K to $235K
45.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston · 18704 · (Tract 2130) | $169K | $186K | +10.1% | |
| Forty Fort | $175K | $201K | +15.0% | |
| Hughestown | $170K | $181K | +6.4% | |
| Wyoming | $167K | $177K | +5.5% | |
| Foster | $172K | $177K | +3.1% | |
| Conyngham area | $169K | $172K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston · 18704 · (Tract 2130) | $169K | $186K | +10.1% | |
| Black Creek | $202K | $253K | +25.5% | |
| Kingston | $153K | $185K | +20.4% | |
| Dallas | $267K | $311K | +16.3% | |
| Conyngham | $257K | $298K | +15.7% | |
| Wilkes-Barre | $91K | $106K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston · 18704 · (Tract 2130) | $169K | $186K | $85K | |
| Nanticoke | $92K | $101K | $49K | |
| Wilkes-Barre (Tract 201400) | $94K | $100K | $47K | |
| Wilkes-Barre (Tract 201300) | $108K | $110K | $41K | |
| Hazleton | $85K | $92K | $39K | |
| Wilkes-Barre (Tract 201000) | $63K | $67K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.