Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Lackawanna, PA · ZIP 18411 · Census Tract 42069110401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$321K
Downside (P10)
$262K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$355K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$437K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $228K | $222K | $223K | $243K | $239K | $242K | $251K | $284K | $293K | $319K | $321K | $333K | $344K | $355K | $330K |
| YoY Change | -2.5% | +0.4% | +8.9% | -1.7% | +1.2% | +3.9% | +13.0% | +3.2% | +8.9% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +3.5% | +3.1% | -6.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $282K | $270K | $262K | $297K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $395K | $413K | $437K | $373K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$282K to $395K
34.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$297K to $373K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Abington · Clarks Summit · (Tract 1104.1) | $321K | $355K | +10.5% | |
| Ransom area | $308K | $345K | +11.9% | |
| South Abington | $335K | $365K | +9.2% | |
| Jefferson | $279K | $303K | +8.4% | |
| Dalton area | $298K | $320K | +7.4% | |
| Roaring Brook | $292K | $309K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Abington · Clarks Summit · (Tract 1104.1) | $321K | $355K | +10.5% | |
| Scranton (Tract 102500) | $123K | $145K | +17.8% | |
| Scott | $253K | $291K | +15.0% | |
| Scranton (Tract 101700) | $172K | $197K | +15.0% | |
| Dickson City | $204K | $235K | +14.7% | |
| Scranton (Tract 102000) | $128K | $145K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Abington · Clarks Summit · (Tract 1104.1) | $321K | $355K | $175K | |
| Scranton (Tract 101300) | $141K | $153K | $67K | |
| Scranton (Tract 101200) | $131K | $140K | $66K | |
| Scranton (Tract 102100) | $125K | $134K | $65K | |
| Scranton (Tract 101900) | $126K | $134K | $57K | |
| Scranton (Tract 102600) | $92K | $98K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.