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Jefferson, PA · ZIP 15767 · Census Tract 42065950900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$153K
Downside (P10)
$127K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$153K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$212K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $106K | $112K | $114K | $119K | $129K | $131K | $138K | $146K | $148K | $153K | $152K | $156K | $153K | $154K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | +5.8% | +2.0% | +3.8% | +8.9% | +1.3% | +5.4% | +5.6% | +1.8% | +3.2% | -0.4% | +2.6% | -2.0% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $135K | $136K | $127K | $139K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $191K | $208K | $212K | $174K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$135K to $191K
36.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$139K to $174K
22.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver area | $150K | $153K | +2.5% | |
| Polk area | $162K | $180K | +11.1% | |
| Warsaw area | $162K | $171K | +6.0% | |
| Knox area | $165K | $181K | +9.7% | |
| Brookville | $139K | $152K | +9.1% | |
| Brockway | $134K | $147K | +10.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver area | $150K | $153K | +2.5% | |
| Henderson area | $128K | $144K | +12.3% | |
| Polk area | $162K | $180K | +11.1% | |
| Brockway | $134K | $147K | +10.0% | |
| Knox area | $165K | $181K | +9.7% | |
| Brookville | $139K | $152K | +9.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver area | $150K | $153K | $85K | |
| Punxsutawney (Tract 951200) | $93K | $97K | $52K | |
| Reynoldsville | $97K | $100K | $52K | |
| Punxsutawney (Tract 951300) | $107K | $115K | $53K | |
| Henderson area | $128K | $144K | $63K | |
| Winslow area | $128K | $139K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.