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Umatilla, OR · ZIP 97862 · Census Tract 41059950300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$356K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$371K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$492K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $181K | $180K | $187K | $192K | $205K | $210K | $226K | $246K | $310K | $342K | $356K | $355K | $364K | $371K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$175,040 | -$175,840 | -$168,640 | -$164,140 | -$150,540 | -$145,840 | -$129,740 | -$110,240 | -$46,040 | -$13,840 | -$638 | +$8,640 | +$15,297 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.2% | -49.4% | -47.4% | -46.1% | -42.3% | -41.0% | -36.5% | -31.0% | -12.9% | -3.9% | -0.2% | +2.4% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $303K | $300K | $292K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $419K | $452K | $492K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$303K to $419K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$292K to $492K
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athena | $345K | $371K | +7.6% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 951202) | $363K | $395K | +8.6% | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950500) | $310K | $335K | +8.0% | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950400) | $325K | $347K | +7.0% | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950602) | $351K | $375K | +6.9% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 951000) | $345K | $357K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athena | $345K | $371K | +7.6% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 950800) | $297K | $347K | +16.9% | |
| Milton-Freewater (Tract 950201) | $221K | $251K | +13.5% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 951100) | $273K | $310K | +13.5% | |
| Milton-Freewater (Tract 950100) | $278K | $309K | +11.3% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 950900) | $299K | $332K | +11.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athena | $345K | $371K | $200K | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950700) | $241K | $265K | $134K | |
| Milton-Freewater | $221K | $251K | $127K | |
| Pilot Rock | $228K | $242K | $123K | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla | $230K | $244K | $123K | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950601) | $210K | $229K | $105K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Umatilla, OR · ZIP 97862 · Census Tract 41059950300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$356K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$371K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$492K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $181K | $180K | $187K | $192K | $205K | $210K | $226K | $246K | $310K | $342K | $356K | $355K | $364K | $371K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$175,040 | -$175,840 | -$168,640 | -$164,140 | -$150,540 | -$145,840 | -$129,740 | -$110,240 | -$46,040 | -$13,840 | -$638 | +$8,640 | +$15,297 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.2% | -49.4% | -47.4% | -46.1% | -42.3% | -41.0% | -36.5% | -31.0% | -12.9% | -3.9% | -0.2% | +2.4% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $303K | $300K | $292K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $419K | $452K | $492K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$303K to $419K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$292K to $492K
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athena | $345K | $371K | +7.6% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 951202) | $363K | $395K | +8.6% | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950500) | $310K | $335K | +8.0% | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950400) | $325K | $347K | +7.0% | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950602) | $351K | $375K | +6.9% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 951000) | $345K | $357K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athena | $345K | $371K | +7.6% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 950800) | $297K | $347K | +16.9% | |
| Milton-Freewater (Tract 950201) | $221K | $251K | +13.5% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 951100) | $273K | $310K | +13.5% | |
| Milton-Freewater (Tract 950100) | $278K | $309K | +11.3% | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla (Tract 950900) | $299K | $332K | +11.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athena | $345K | $371K | $200K | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950700) | $241K | $265K | $134K | |
| Milton-Freewater | $221K | $251K | $127K | |
| Pilot Rock | $228K | $242K | $123K | |
| Hermiston-Umatilla | $230K | $244K | $123K | |
| Pendleton (Tract 950601) | $210K | $229K | $105K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
