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Morrow, OR · Census Tract 41049160009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$60K
Downside (P10)
$43K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$80K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+127% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +127%. The model forecasts this with 36% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $60K | $72K | $71K | $73K | $80K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$12,421 | +$10,919 | +$13,515 | +$20,193 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +20.8% | +18.3% | +22.6% | +33.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $51K | $46K | $42K | $43K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $113K | $117K | $127K | $136K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$51K to $113K
85.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$43K to $136K
116.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $60K | $80K | +33.8% | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | +53.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | +37.6% | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | +9.2% | |
| Boardman (Tract 970102) | $238K | $251K | +5.4% | |
| Boardman (Tract 970101) | $284K | $289K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $60K | $80K | +33.8% | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | +53.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 280002) | $453K | $642K | +41.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | +37.6% | |
| Morrow (Tract 040006) | $364K | $490K | +34.8% | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $60K | $80K | $93K | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | $385K | |
| Boardman (Tract 970101) | $284K | $289K | $162K | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | $158K | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | $139K | |
| Boardman (Tract 970102) | $238K | $251K | $135K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Morrow, OR · Census Tract 41049160009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$60K
Downside (P10)
$43K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$80K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+127% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +127%. The model forecasts this with 36% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $60K | $72K | $71K | $73K | $80K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$12,421 | +$10,919 | +$13,515 | +$20,193 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +20.8% | +18.3% | +22.6% | +33.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $51K | $46K | $42K | $43K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $113K | $117K | $127K | $136K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$51K to $113K
85.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$43K to $136K
116.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $60K | $80K | +33.8% | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | +53.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | +37.6% | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | +9.2% | |
| Boardman (Tract 970102) | $238K | $251K | +5.4% | |
| Boardman (Tract 970101) | $284K | $289K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $60K | $80K | +33.8% | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | +53.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 280002) | $453K | $642K | +41.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | +37.6% | |
| Morrow (Tract 040006) | $364K | $490K | +34.8% | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160009 | $60K | $80K | $93K | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | $385K | |
| Boardman (Tract 970101) | $284K | $289K | $162K | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | $158K | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | $139K | |
| Boardman (Tract 970102) | $238K | $251K | $135K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
