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Morrow, OR · Census Tract 41049040006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$364K
Downside (P10)
$287K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$490K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$872K
+140% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +140%. The model forecasts this with 34% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $364K | $424K | $446K | $437K | $490K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$60,797 | +$82,772 | +$73,126 | +$126,609 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +16.7% | +22.8% | +20.1% | +34.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $316K | $298K | $281K | $287K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $661K | $719K | $786K | $872K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$316K to $661K
81.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$287K to $872K
119.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040006 | $364K | $490K | +34.8% | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | +53.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 280002) | $453K | $642K | +41.9% | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | +9.2% | |
| Boardman (Tract 970102) | $238K | $251K | +5.4% | |
| Boardman (Tract 970101) | $284K | $289K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040006 | $364K | $490K | +34.8% | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | +53.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 280002) | $453K | $642K | +41.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | +37.6% | |
| Morrow (Tract 160009) | $60K | $80K | +33.8% | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040006 | $364K | $490K | $585K | |
| Boardman (Tract 970101) | $284K | $289K | $162K | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | $158K | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | $139K | |
| Boardman (Tract 970102) | $238K | $251K | $135K | |
| Morrow (Tract 160009) | $60K | $80K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Morrow, OR · Census Tract 41049040006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$364K
Downside (P10)
$287K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$490K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$872K
+140% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +140%. The model forecasts this with 34% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $364K | $424K | $446K | $437K | $490K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$60,797 | +$82,772 | +$73,126 | +$126,609 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +16.7% | +22.8% | +20.1% | +34.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $316K | $298K | $281K | $287K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $661K | $719K | $786K | $872K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$316K to $661K
81.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$287K to $872K
119.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040006 | $364K | $490K | +34.8% | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | +53.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 280002) | $453K | $642K | +41.9% | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | +9.2% | |
| Boardman (Tract 970102) | $238K | $251K | +5.4% | |
| Boardman (Tract 970101) | $284K | $289K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040006 | $364K | $490K | +34.8% | |
| Morrow (Tract 360003) | $290K | $446K | +53.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 280002) | $453K | $642K | +41.9% | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | +37.6% | |
| Morrow (Tract 160009) | $60K | $80K | +33.8% | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 040006 | $364K | $490K | $585K | |
| Boardman (Tract 970101) | $284K | $289K | $162K | |
| Heppner | $232K | $253K | $158K | |
| Morrow (Tract 120007) | $108K | $148K | $139K | |
| Boardman (Tract 970102) | $238K | $251K | $135K | |
| Morrow (Tract 160009) | $60K | $80K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
