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Clackamas, OR · ZIP 97222 · Census Tract 41005021500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$596K
Downside (P10)
$484K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$599K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$822K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $278K | $286K | $315K | $333K | $361K | $394K | $428K | $523K | $569K | $592K | $596K | $622K | $606K | $599K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | +10.0% | +5.9% | +8.2% | +9.2% | +8.7% | +22.2% | +8.8% | +4.0% | +0.7% | +4.5% | -2.7% | -1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $527K | $508K | $484K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $721K | $779K | $822K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$527K to $721K
31.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$484K to $822K
56.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukie | $594K | $599K | +0.8% | |
| Milwaukie | $587K | $676K | +15.2% | |
| Canby | $604K | $691K | +14.5% | |
| Wilsonville (Tract 022707) | $596K | $668K | +12.0% | |
| Wilsonville (Tract 024402) | $587K | $619K | +5.4% | |
| Northwest Clackamas | $603K | $619K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukie | $594K | $599K | +0.8% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022109) | $557K | $664K | +19.2% | |
| Stafford | $766K | $904K | +18.0% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 020102) | $1.21M | $1.42M | +17.0% | |
| Happy Valley | $764K | $889K | +16.4% | |
| Milwaukie | $517K | $601K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukie | $594K | $599K | $338K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022201) | $375K | $405K | $227K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021802) | $465K | $491K | $218K | |
| Canby | $420K | $471K | $215K | |
| Molalla | $464K | $499K | $196K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022108) | $142K | $163K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.