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Clackamas, OR · ZIP 97038 · Census Tract 41005023901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$464K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$499K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$621K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $195K | $208K | $225K | $250K | $283K | $329K | $349K | $392K | $419K | $452K | $464K | $477K | $486K | $499K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$269,361 | -$255,961 | -$239,361 | -$213,661 | -$181,161 | -$135,561 | -$115,461 | -$72,161 | -$44,961 | -$11,761 | +$13,360 | +$21,776 | +$34,692 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.0% | -55.2% | -51.6% | -46.0% | -39.0% | -29.2% | -24.9% | -15.5% | -9.7% | -2.5% | +2.9% | +4.7% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $416K | $420K | $425K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $554K | $564K | $621K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$416K to $554K
28.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$425K to $621K
39.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molalla | $464K | $499K | +7.6% | |
| Molalla | $462K | $532K | +15.2% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021602) | $469K | $505K | +7.8% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021700) | $468K | $501K | +7.1% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022502) | $466K | $496K | +6.5% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021802) | $465K | $491K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molalla | $464K | $499K | +7.6% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022109) | $557K | $664K | +19.2% | |
| Stafford | $766K | $904K | +18.0% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 020102) | $1.21M | $1.42M | +17.0% | |
| Happy Valley | $764K | $889K | +16.4% | |
| Milwaukie | $517K | $601K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molalla | $464K | $499K | $196K | |
| Oak Grove | $524K | $548K | $229K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022201) | $375K | $405K | $227K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021802) | $465K | $491K | $218K | |
| Canby | $420K | $471K | $215K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022108) | $142K | $163K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clackamas, OR · ZIP 97038 · Census Tract 41005023901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$464K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$499K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$621K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $195K | $208K | $225K | $250K | $283K | $329K | $349K | $392K | $419K | $452K | $464K | $477K | $486K | $499K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$269,361 | -$255,961 | -$239,361 | -$213,661 | -$181,161 | -$135,561 | -$115,461 | -$72,161 | -$44,961 | -$11,761 | +$13,360 | +$21,776 | +$34,692 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.0% | -55.2% | -51.6% | -46.0% | -39.0% | -29.2% | -24.9% | -15.5% | -9.7% | -2.5% | +2.9% | +4.7% | +7.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $416K | $420K | $425K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $554K | $564K | $621K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$416K to $554K
28.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$425K to $621K
39.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molalla | $464K | $499K | +7.6% | |
| Molalla | $462K | $532K | +15.2% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021602) | $469K | $505K | +7.8% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021700) | $468K | $501K | +7.1% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022502) | $466K | $496K | +6.5% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021802) | $465K | $491K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molalla | $464K | $499K | +7.6% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022109) | $557K | $664K | +19.2% | |
| Stafford | $766K | $904K | +18.0% | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 020102) | $1.21M | $1.42M | +17.0% | |
| Happy Valley | $764K | $889K | +16.4% | |
| Milwaukie | $517K | $601K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molalla | $464K | $499K | $196K | |
| Oak Grove | $524K | $548K | $229K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022201) | $375K | $405K | $227K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 021802) | $465K | $491K | $218K | |
| Canby | $420K | $471K | $215K | |
| Northwest Clackamas (Tract 022108) | $142K | $163K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
