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Pontotoc, OK · ZIP 74871 · Census Tract 40123088700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$181K
Downside (P10)
$153K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$255K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $95K | $106K | $102K | $127K | $142K | $142K | $142K | $163K | $171K | $181K | $186K | $190K | $191K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$82,679 | -$86,179 | -$74,479 | -$78,479 | -$53,879 | -$39,279 | -$39,379 | -$38,779 | -$18,079 | -$9,579 | +$5,048 | +$9,092 | +$10,530 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.7% | -47.6% | -41.2% | -43.4% | -29.8% | -21.7% | -21.8% | -21.4% | -10.0% | -5.3% | +2.8% | +5.0% | +5.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $156K | $160K | $153K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $212K | $238K | $255K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$156K to $212K
30.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$153K to $255K
53.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Pontotoc | $173K | $191K | +10.7% | |
| Ada (Tract 088802) | $183K | $206K | +12.9% | |
| Northeast Pontotoc | $159K | $176K | +10.7% | |
| Ada (Tract 089300) | $168K | $184K | +9.0% | |
| Northwest Pontotoc | $184K | $197K | +6.6% | |
| Ada (Tract 089000) | $209K | $218K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Pontotoc | $173K | $191K | +10.7% | |
| Ada (Tract 089200) | $54K | $61K | +13.0% | |
| Ada (Tract 088802) | $183K | $206K | +12.9% | |
| Northeast Pontotoc | $159K | $176K | +10.7% | |
| Ada (Tract 089300) | $168K | $184K | +9.0% | |
| Ada (Tract 088900) | $145K | $155K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Pontotoc | $173K | $191K | $102K | |
| Ada (Tract 089000) | $209K | $218K | $81K | |
| Southwest Pontotoc area | $145K | $150K | $72K | |
| Ada (Tract 088900) | $145K | $155K | $67K | |
| Ada (Tract 089100) | $84K | $87K | $51K | |
| Ada (Tract 089200) | $54K | $61K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Pontotoc, OK · ZIP 74871 · Census Tract 40123088700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$181K
Downside (P10)
$153K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$255K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $95K | $106K | $102K | $127K | $142K | $142K | $142K | $163K | $171K | $181K | $186K | $190K | $191K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$82,679 | -$86,179 | -$74,479 | -$78,479 | -$53,879 | -$39,279 | -$39,379 | -$38,779 | -$18,079 | -$9,579 | +$5,048 | +$9,092 | +$10,530 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.7% | -47.6% | -41.2% | -43.4% | -29.8% | -21.7% | -21.8% | -21.4% | -10.0% | -5.3% | +2.8% | +5.0% | +5.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $156K | $160K | $153K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $212K | $238K | $255K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$156K to $212K
30.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$153K to $255K
53.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Pontotoc | $173K | $191K | +10.7% | |
| Ada (Tract 088802) | $183K | $206K | +12.9% | |
| Northeast Pontotoc | $159K | $176K | +10.7% | |
| Ada (Tract 089300) | $168K | $184K | +9.0% | |
| Northwest Pontotoc | $184K | $197K | +6.6% | |
| Ada (Tract 089000) | $209K | $218K | +4.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Pontotoc | $173K | $191K | +10.7% | |
| Ada (Tract 089200) | $54K | $61K | +13.0% | |
| Ada (Tract 088802) | $183K | $206K | +12.9% | |
| Northeast Pontotoc | $159K | $176K | +10.7% | |
| Ada (Tract 089300) | $168K | $184K | +9.0% | |
| Ada (Tract 088900) | $145K | $155K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Pontotoc | $173K | $191K | $102K | |
| Ada (Tract 089000) | $209K | $218K | $81K | |
| Southwest Pontotoc area | $145K | $150K | $72K | |
| Ada (Tract 088900) | $145K | $155K | $67K | |
| Ada (Tract 089100) | $84K | $87K | $51K | |
| Ada (Tract 089200) | $54K | $61K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
