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Stark, OH · ZIP 44720 · Census Tract 39151712113 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$321K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$367K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$490K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $200K | $227K | $281K | $296K | $308K | $321K | $329K | $338K | $367K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$121,701 | -$94,201 | -$40,901 | -$25,801 | -$13,701 | +$7,844 | +$16,209 | +$45,811 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.9% | -29.3% | -12.7% | -8.0% | -4.3% | +2.4% | +5.0% | +14.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $282K | $286K | $292K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $388K | $439K | $490K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$282K to $388K
32.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$292K to $490K
53.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plain area | $315K | $367K | +16.7% | |
| Stark | $330K | $378K | +14.7% | |
| Jackson (Tract 711402) | $328K | $369K | +12.5% | |
| Jackson (Tract 711312) | $328K | $354K | +7.8% | |
| Jackson (Tract 711411) | $324K | $348K | +7.2% | |
| Lake | $324K | $336K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plain area | $315K | $367K | $198K | |
| Canton | $61K | $71K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Stark, OH · ZIP 44720 · Census Tract 39151712113 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$321K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$367K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$490K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $200K | $227K | $281K | $296K | $308K | $321K | $329K | $338K | $367K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$121,701 | -$94,201 | -$40,901 | -$25,801 | -$13,701 | +$7,844 | +$16,209 | +$45,811 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.9% | -29.3% | -12.7% | -8.0% | -4.3% | +2.4% | +5.0% | +14.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $282K | $286K | $292K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $388K | $439K | $490K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$282K to $388K
32.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$292K to $490K
53.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plain area | $315K | $367K | +16.7% | |
| Stark | $330K | $378K | +14.7% | |
| Jackson (Tract 711402) | $328K | $369K | +12.5% | |
| Jackson (Tract 711312) | $328K | $354K | +7.8% | |
| Jackson (Tract 711411) | $324K | $348K | +7.2% | |
| Lake | $324K | $336K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plain area | $315K | $367K | $198K | |
| Canton | $61K | $71K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
