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Lawrence, OH · Census Tract 39087960008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$53K
Downside (P10)
$39K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$69K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$135K
+156% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +156%. The model forecasts this with 24% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $53K | $65K | $64K | $67K | $69K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$11,776 | +$11,232 | +$14,257 | +$16,634 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +22.3% | +21.3% | +27.0% | +31.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $47K | $42K | $38K | $39K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $106K | $112K | $122K | $135K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$47K to $106K
90.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$39K to $135K
138.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960008 | $53K | $69K | +31.5% | |
| Ironton (Tract 050100) | $101K | $115K | +13.1% | |
| Upper | $104K | $116K | +11.3% | |
| Ironton (Tract 050400) | $106K | $112K | +5.6% | |
| Ironton (Tract 050200) | $118K | $122K | +3.4% | |
| Elizabeth | $91K | $91K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960008 | $53K | $69K | +31.5% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 760101) | $126K | $177K | +40.5% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 440007) | $150K | $207K | +38.4% | |
| Decatur area | $123K | $140K | +13.7% | |
| Ironton | $101K | $115K | +13.1% | |
| Upper | $104K | $116K | +11.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lawrence, OH · Census Tract 39087960008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$53K
Downside (P10)
$39K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$69K
+31% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$135K
+156% by 2030
Base case: +31% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +156%. The model forecasts this with 24% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $53K | $65K | $64K | $67K | $69K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$11,776 | +$11,232 | +$14,257 | +$16,634 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +22.3% | +21.3% | +27.0% | +31.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $47K | $42K | $38K | $39K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $106K | $112K | $122K | $135K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$47K to $106K
90.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$39K to $135K
138.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960008 | $53K | $69K | +31.5% | |
| Ironton (Tract 050100) | $101K | $115K | +13.1% | |
| Upper | $104K | $116K | +11.3% | |
| Ironton (Tract 050400) | $106K | $112K | +5.6% | |
| Ironton (Tract 050200) | $118K | $122K | +3.4% | |
| Elizabeth | $91K | $91K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960008 | $53K | $69K | +31.5% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 760101) | $126K | $177K | +40.5% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 440007) | $150K | $207K | +38.4% | |
| Decatur area | $123K | $140K | +13.7% | |
| Ironton | $101K | $115K | +13.1% | |
| Upper | $104K | $116K | +11.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
