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Lawrence, OH · Census Tract 39087760101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$126K
Downside (P10)
$108K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$177K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$328K
+161% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +161%. The model forecasts this with 31% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $148K | $157K | $172K | $177K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$22,023 | +$31,207 | +$46,682 | +$50,905 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +17.5% | +24.8% | +37.2% | +40.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $109K | $105K | $101K | $108K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $212K | $249K | $277K | $328K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$109K to $212K
69.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$108K to $328K
125.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760101 | $126K | $177K | +40.5% | |
| Decatur area | $123K | $140K | +13.7% | |
| Mason area | $132K | $143K | +9.0% | |
| Ironton | $118K | $122K | +3.4% | |
| Burlington | $127K | $131K | +3.3% | |
| Aid area | $123K | $124K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760101 | $126K | $177K | +40.5% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 440007) | $150K | $207K | +38.4% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 960008) | $53K | $69K | +31.5% | |
| Decatur area | $123K | $140K | +13.7% | |
| Ironton | $101K | $115K | +13.1% | |
| Upper | $104K | $116K | +11.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lawrence, OH · Census Tract 39087760101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$126K
Downside (P10)
$108K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$177K
+41% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$328K
+161% by 2030
Base case: +41% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +161%. The model forecasts this with 31% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $148K | $157K | $172K | $177K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$22,023 | +$31,207 | +$46,682 | +$50,905 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +17.5% | +24.8% | +37.2% | +40.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $109K | $105K | $101K | $108K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $212K | $249K | $277K | $328K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$109K to $212K
69.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$108K to $328K
125.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760101 | $126K | $177K | +40.5% | |
| Decatur area | $123K | $140K | +13.7% | |
| Mason area | $132K | $143K | +9.0% | |
| Ironton | $118K | $122K | +3.4% | |
| Burlington | $127K | $131K | +3.3% | |
| Aid area | $123K | $124K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760101 | $126K | $177K | +40.5% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 440007) | $150K | $207K | +38.4% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 960008) | $53K | $69K | +31.5% | |
| Decatur area | $123K | $140K | +13.7% | |
| Ironton | $101K | $115K | +13.1% | |
| Upper | $104K | $116K | +11.3% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
