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Knox, OH · Census Tract 39083280009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$513K
Downside (P10)
$308K
-40% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$578K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$858K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -40% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $513K | $572K | $542K | $539K | $578K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$58,346 | +$28,324 | +$25,884 | +$64,561 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +11.4% | +5.5% | +5.0% | +12.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $434K | $365K | $331K | $308K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $754K | $774K | $804K | $858K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$434K to $754K
56.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$308K to $858K
95.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $513K | $578K | +12.6% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $884K | +41.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $506K | +37.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 480003) | $384K | $522K | +36.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 880001) | $540K | $647K | +19.7% | |
| Milford area | $413K | $437K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $513K | $578K | +12.6% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $884K | +41.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $506K | +37.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $74K | +37.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 480003) | $384K | $522K | +36.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $513K | $578K | $549K | |
| Mount Vernon area | $233K | $244K | $112K | |
| Knox (Tract 200005) | $121K | $155K | $110K | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $74K | $98K | |
| Morris area | $176K | $192K | $94K | |
| Pike area | $267K | $271K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Knox, OH · Census Tract 39083280009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$513K
Downside (P10)
$308K
-40% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$578K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$858K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -40% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $513K | $572K | $542K | $539K | $578K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$58,346 | +$28,324 | +$25,884 | +$64,561 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +11.4% | +5.5% | +5.0% | +12.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $434K | $365K | $331K | $308K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $754K | $774K | $804K | $858K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$434K to $754K
56.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$308K to $858K
95.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $513K | $578K | +12.6% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $884K | +41.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $506K | +37.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 480003) | $384K | $522K | +36.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 880001) | $540K | $647K | +19.7% | |
| Milford area | $413K | $437K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $513K | $578K | +12.6% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $884K | +41.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $506K | +37.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $74K | +37.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 480003) | $384K | $522K | +36.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280009 | $513K | $578K | $549K | |
| Mount Vernon area | $233K | $244K | $112K | |
| Knox (Tract 200005) | $121K | $155K | $110K | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $74K | $98K | |
| Morris area | $176K | $192K | $94K | |
| Pike area | $267K | $271K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
