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Knox, OH · Census Tract 39083240007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$54K
Downside (P10)
$43K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$74K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$142K
+164% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +164%. The model forecasts this with 27% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $54K | $67K | $64K | $67K | $74K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$13,285 | +$10,829 | +$13,537 | +$20,026 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +24.8% | +20.2% | +25.2% | +37.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $48K | $45K | $43K | $43K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $96K | $109K | $120K | $142K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$48K to $96K
70.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$43K to $142K
133.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $54K | $74K | +37.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $134K | +35.2% | |
| Knox (Tract 920000) | $84K | $110K | +30.9% | |
| Knox (Tract 200005) | $121K | $155K | +27.4% | |
| Mount Vernon area | $167K | $179K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $54K | $74K | +37.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $884K | +41.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $506K | +37.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 480003) | $384K | $522K | +36.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $134K | +35.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $54K | $74K | $98K | |
| Mount Vernon area (Tract 007600) | $167K | $179K | $113K | |
| Mount Vernon area (Tract 007302) | $233K | $244K | $112K | |
| Knox | $121K | $155K | $110K | |
| Morris area | $176K | $192K | $94K | |
| Pike area | $267K | $271K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Knox, OH · Census Tract 39083240007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$54K
Downside (P10)
$43K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$74K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$142K
+164% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +164%. The model forecasts this with 27% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $54K | $67K | $64K | $67K | $74K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$13,285 | +$10,829 | +$13,537 | +$20,026 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +24.8% | +20.2% | +25.2% | +37.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $48K | $45K | $43K | $43K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $96K | $109K | $120K | $142K |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$48K to $96K
70.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$43K to $142K
133.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $54K | $74K | +37.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $134K | +35.2% | |
| Knox (Tract 920000) | $84K | $110K | +30.9% | |
| Knox (Tract 200005) | $121K | $155K | +27.4% | |
| Mount Vernon area | $167K | $179K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $54K | $74K | +37.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $884K | +41.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $506K | +37.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 480003) | $384K | $522K | +36.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $134K | +35.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240007 | $54K | $74K | $98K | |
| Mount Vernon area (Tract 007600) | $167K | $179K | $113K | |
| Mount Vernon area (Tract 007302) | $233K | $244K | $112K | |
| Knox | $121K | $155K | $110K | |
| Morris area | $176K | $192K | $94K | |
| Pike area | $267K | $271K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
