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Knox, OH · ZIP 43050 · Census Tract 39083007500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$257K
Downside (P10)
$223K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$285K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$377K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $145K | $150K | $153K | $152K | $156K | $158K | $170K | $197K | $218K | $248K | $257K | $260K | $272K | $285K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$112,080 | -$106,680 | -$104,380 | -$105,380 | -$101,480 | -$99,280 | -$86,580 | -$60,080 | -$38,580 | -$8,580 | +$3,068 | +$14,713 | +$27,959 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.6% | -41.5% | -40.6% | -41.0% | -39.5% | -38.6% | -33.7% | -23.4% | -15.0% | -3.3% | +1.2% | +5.7% | +10.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $229K | $232K | $223K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $317K | $349K | $377K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$229K to $317K
33.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$223K to $377K
53.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant area | $253K | $285K | +12.4% | |
| College area | $285K | $339K | +18.9% | |
| Hilliar | $263K | $286K | +8.7% | |
| Pike area | $266K | $284K | +7.0% | |
| Liberty area | $280K | $299K | +6.7% | |
| Mount Vernon area | $229K | $244K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant area | $253K | $285K | +12.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $837K | +34.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $474K | +28.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $156K | +27.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $67K | +25.2% | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $124K | +25.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant area | $253K | $285K | $153K | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $124K | $108K | |
| Knox (Tract 200005) | $121K | $148K | $106K | |
| Morris area | $173K | $192K | $94K | |
| Knox (Tract 920000) | $84K | $102K | $94K | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $67K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Knox, OH · ZIP 43050 · Census Tract 39083007500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$257K
Downside (P10)
$223K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$285K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$377K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $145K | $150K | $153K | $152K | $156K | $158K | $170K | $197K | $218K | $248K | $257K | $260K | $272K | $285K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$112,080 | -$106,680 | -$104,380 | -$105,380 | -$101,480 | -$99,280 | -$86,580 | -$60,080 | -$38,580 | -$8,580 | +$3,068 | +$14,713 | +$27,959 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.6% | -41.5% | -40.6% | -41.0% | -39.5% | -38.6% | -33.7% | -23.4% | -15.0% | -3.3% | +1.2% | +5.7% | +10.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $229K | $232K | $223K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $317K | $349K | $377K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$229K to $317K
33.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$223K to $377K
53.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant area | $253K | $285K | +12.4% | |
| College area | $285K | $339K | +18.9% | |
| Hilliar | $263K | $286K | +8.7% | |
| Pike area | $266K | $284K | +7.0% | |
| Liberty area | $280K | $299K | +6.7% | |
| Mount Vernon area | $229K | $244K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant area | $253K | $285K | +12.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $837K | +34.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $474K | +28.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $156K | +27.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $67K | +25.2% | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $124K | +25.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant area | $253K | $285K | $153K | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $124K | $108K | |
| Knox (Tract 200005) | $121K | $148K | $106K | |
| Morris area | $173K | $192K | $94K | |
| Knox (Tract 920000) | $84K | $102K | $94K | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $67K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
