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Monroe, NY · ZIP 14534 · Census Tract 36055012305 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$414K
Downside (P10)
$358K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$429K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$539K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $254K | $260K | $274K | $272K | $280K | $288K | $298K | $369K | $379K | $399K | $414K | $428K | $430K | $429K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$160,288 | -$154,188 | -$140,688 | -$141,888 | -$134,588 | -$126,388 | -$115,988 | -$44,888 | -$34,988 | -$15,588 | +$13,881 | +$15,862 | +$14,738 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.7% | -37.2% | -34.0% | -34.3% | -32.5% | -30.5% | -28.0% | -10.8% | -8.4% | -3.8% | +3.4% | +3.8% | +3.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $364K | $366K | $358K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $502K | $539K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$364K to $494K
30.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$358K to $539K
42.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsford · 14534 · (Tract 123.5) | $406K | $429K | +5.8% | |
| Rochester (Tract 003101) | $431K | $485K | +12.7% | |
| Perinton | $407K | $451K | +11.0% | |
| Mendon | $438K | $458K | +4.5% | |
| Rochester (Tract 007801) | $389K | $391K | +0.3% | |
| Pittsford | $398K | $388K | -2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsford · 14534 · (Tract 123.5) | $406K | $429K | +5.8% | |
| Penfield | $271K | $318K | +17.6% | |
| Irondequoit | $175K | $206K | +17.5% | |
| Rochester (Tract 009601) | $69K | $81K | +17.0% | |
| Rochester (Tract 003600) | $189K | $220K | +16.0% | |
| Rochester (Tract 005000) | $72K | $83K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsford · 14534 · (Tract 123.5) | $406K | $429K | $180K | |
| Rochester (Tract 000700) | $56K | $60K | $38K | |
| Rochester (Tract 005900) | $80K | $91K | $35K | |
| Rochester (Tract 000200) | $52K | $56K | $34K | |
| Rochester (Tract 009605) | $56K | $62K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Monroe, NY · ZIP 14534 · Census Tract 36055012305 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$414K
Downside (P10)
$358K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$429K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$539K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $254K | $260K | $274K | $272K | $280K | $288K | $298K | $369K | $379K | $399K | $414K | $428K | $430K | $429K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$160,288 | -$154,188 | -$140,688 | -$141,888 | -$134,588 | -$126,388 | -$115,988 | -$44,888 | -$34,988 | -$15,588 | +$13,881 | +$15,862 | +$14,738 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.7% | -37.2% | -34.0% | -34.3% | -32.5% | -30.5% | -28.0% | -10.8% | -8.4% | -3.8% | +3.4% | +3.8% | +3.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $364K | $366K | $358K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $494K | $502K | $539K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$364K to $494K
30.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$358K to $539K
42.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsford · 14534 · (Tract 123.5) | $406K | $429K | +5.8% | |
| Rochester (Tract 003101) | $431K | $485K | +12.7% | |
| Perinton | $407K | $451K | +11.0% | |
| Mendon | $438K | $458K | +4.5% | |
| Rochester (Tract 007801) | $389K | $391K | +0.3% | |
| Pittsford | $398K | $388K | -2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsford · 14534 · (Tract 123.5) | $406K | $429K | +5.8% | |
| Penfield | $271K | $318K | +17.6% | |
| Irondequoit | $175K | $206K | +17.5% | |
| Rochester (Tract 009601) | $69K | $81K | +17.0% | |
| Rochester (Tract 003600) | $189K | $220K | +16.0% | |
| Rochester (Tract 005000) | $72K | $83K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsford · 14534 · (Tract 123.5) | $406K | $429K | $180K | |
| Rochester (Tract 000700) | $56K | $60K | $38K | |
| Rochester (Tract 005900) | $80K | $91K | $35K | |
| Rochester (Tract 000200) | $52K | $56K | $34K | |
| Rochester (Tract 009605) | $56K | $62K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
