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Monroe, NY · ZIP 14621 · Census Tract 36055005000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$74K
Downside (P10)
$60K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$83K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$108K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $38K | $41K | $50K | $55K | $55K | $53K | $53K | $68K | $63K | $70K | $74K | $77K | $82K | $83K |
| YoY Change | +6.0% | +24.0% | +9.2% | +0.5% | -4.4% | +0.2% | +29.0% | -7.6% | +11.6% | +6.0% | +3.5% | +6.4% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $64K | $63K | $60K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $94K | $99K | $108K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$64K to $94K
38.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$60K to $108K
57.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochester | $72K | $83K | +15.8% | |
| Rochester (Tract 002700) | $78K | $85K | +8.1% | |
| Rochester (Tract 005100) | $74K | $79K | +7.1% | |
| Rochester (Tract 004000) | $70K | $75K | +6.5% | |
| Rochester (Tract 001600) | $77K | $82K | +5.7% | |
| Rochester (Tract 004800) | $76K | $80K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochester | $72K | $83K | +15.8% | |
| Penfield (Tract 011605) | $271K | $318K | +17.6% | |
| Rochester (Tract 003600) | $189K | $220K | +16.0% | |
| Rochester (Tract 003102) | $372K | $427K | +14.8% | |
| East Rochester | $129K | $147K | +13.9% | |
| Penfield (Tract 011506) | $380K | $432K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochester | $72K | $83K | $48K | |
| Rochester (Tract 005600) | $66K | $70K | $39K | |
| Rochester (Tract 005500) | $64K | $71K | $38K | |
| Rochester (Tract 000700) | $56K | $60K | $38K | |
| Rochester (Tract 000200) | $52K | $56K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.