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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bernalillo, NM · ZIP 87109 · Census Tract 35001003724 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$354K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$384K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$531K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $230K | $231K | $226K | $229K | $237K | $237K | $250K | $290K | $314K | $354K | $354K | $363K | $377K | $384K |
| YoY Change | +0.7% | -2.1% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +0.0% | +5.4% | +16.0% | +8.6% | +12.7% | -0.1% | +2.6% | +3.8% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $280K | $278K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $423K | $488K | $531K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$307K to $423K
31.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $531K
65.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $355K | $384K | +8.3% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000109) | $361K | $414K | +14.8% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004723) | $353K | $393K | +11.3% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000401) | $356K | $394K | +10.7% | |
| North Valley | $360K | $396K | +10.0% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 001102) | $351K | $374K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $355K | $384K | +8.3% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004761) | $246K | $297K | +20.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000504) | $373K | $447K | +19.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000203) | $305K | $365K | +19.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 001201) | $271K | $319K | +17.9% | |
| South Valley | $234K | $276K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque | $355K | $384K | $253K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000907) | $120K | $132K | $76K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003723) | $141K | $149K | $67K | |
| West Bernalillo | $100K | $108K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.