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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bernalillo, NM · ZIP 87111 · Census Tract 35001003718 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$367K
Downside (P10)
$314K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$391K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$546K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $215K | $216K | $208K | $198K | $197K | $210K | $231K | $281K | $312K | $358K | $367K | $389K | $393K | $391K |
| YoY Change | +0.4% | -3.7% | -4.8% | -0.6% | +6.3% | +10.2% | +21.7% | +11.0% | +14.7% | +2.6% | +6.1% | +0.9% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $320K | $299K | $314K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $439K | $507K | $546K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$320K to $439K
30.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$314K to $546K
59.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque · 87111 · (Tract 37.18) | $367K | $391K | +6.6% | |
| East Bernalillo | $365K | $397K | +8.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000402) | $364K | $389K | +6.8% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000711) | $365K | $384K | +5.1% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 002200) | $368K | $379K | +3.0% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000118) | $363K | $367K | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque · 87111 · (Tract 37.18) | $367K | $391K | +6.6% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 004761) | $246K | $297K | +20.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000504) | $373K | $447K | +19.7% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000203) | $305K | $365K | +19.5% | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 001201) | $271K | $319K | +17.9% | |
| South Valley | $234K | $276K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albuquerque · 87111 · (Tract 37.18) | $367K | $391K | $232K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 000907) | $120K | $132K | $76K | |
| Albuquerque (Tract 003723) | $141K | $149K | $67K | |
| West Bernalillo | $100K | $108K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.