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Ocean, NJ · ZIP 08087 · Census Tract 34029736101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$287K
Downside (P10)
$256K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$316K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$394K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $202K | $211K | $206K | $206K | $212K | $207K | $215K | $237K | $261K | $283K | $287K | $294K | $310K | $316K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,395 | -$75,695 | -$80,495 | -$80,395 | -$74,595 | -$79,495 | -$71,495 | -$49,395 | -$25,895 | -$3,295 | +$7,440 | +$23,288 | +$29,624 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.4% | -26.4% | -28.1% | -28.0% | -26.0% | -27.7% | -24.9% | -17.2% | -9.0% | -1.1% | +2.6% | +8.1% | +10.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $260K | $256K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $346K | $375K | $394K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$260K to $346K
29.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$256K to $394K
43.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor | $287K | $316K | +10.3% | |
| South Toms River | $303K | $339K | +11.7% | |
| Manchester | $308K | $336K | +9.2% | |
| Brick | $293K | $320K | +9.1% | |
| Holiday City-Berkeley (Tract 731201) | $269K | $283K | +5.1% | |
| Holiday City-Berkeley (Tract 731202) | $274K | $275K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor | $287K | $316K | +10.3% | |
| Lacey | $366K | $454K | +24.2% | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | +18.9% | |
| Beachwood | $365K | $428K | +17.2% | |
| Lakewood | $502K | $584K | +16.3% | |
| Brick | $319K | $371K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor | $287K | $316K | $138K | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | $96K | |
| Manchester | $99K | $101K | $58K | |
| Manchester area | $111K | $118K | $54K | |
| Crestwood Village (Tract 720104) | $89K | $92K | $53K | |
| Crestwood Village (Tract 720102) | $113K | $115K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Ocean, NJ · ZIP 08087 · Census Tract 34029736101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$287K
Downside (P10)
$256K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$316K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$394K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $202K | $211K | $206K | $206K | $212K | $207K | $215K | $237K | $261K | $283K | $287K | $294K | $310K | $316K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,395 | -$75,695 | -$80,495 | -$80,395 | -$74,595 | -$79,495 | -$71,495 | -$49,395 | -$25,895 | -$3,295 | +$7,440 | +$23,288 | +$29,624 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -29.4% | -26.4% | -28.1% | -28.0% | -26.0% | -27.7% | -24.9% | -17.2% | -9.0% | -1.1% | +2.6% | +8.1% | +10.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $260K | $256K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $346K | $375K | $394K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$260K to $346K
29.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$256K to $394K
43.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor | $287K | $316K | +10.3% | |
| South Toms River | $303K | $339K | +11.7% | |
| Manchester | $308K | $336K | +9.2% | |
| Brick | $293K | $320K | +9.1% | |
| Holiday City-Berkeley (Tract 731201) | $269K | $283K | +5.1% | |
| Holiday City-Berkeley (Tract 731202) | $274K | $275K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor | $287K | $316K | +10.3% | |
| Lacey | $366K | $454K | +24.2% | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | +18.9% | |
| Beachwood | $365K | $428K | +17.2% | |
| Lakewood | $502K | $584K | +16.3% | |
| Brick | $319K | $371K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor | $287K | $316K | $138K | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | $96K | |
| Manchester | $99K | $101K | $58K | |
| Manchester area | $111K | $118K | $54K | |
| Crestwood Village (Tract 720104) | $89K | $92K | $53K | |
| Crestwood Village (Tract 720102) | $113K | $115K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
