Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Ocean, NJ · ZIP 08735 · Census Tract 34029722500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$761K
Downside (P10)
$660K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$837K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.14M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $512K | $499K | $529K | $536K | $532K | $573K | $600K | $696K | $738K | $726K | $761K | $792K | $833K | $837K | $766K |
| YoY Change | -2.6% | +6.0% | +1.3% | -0.7% | +7.8% | +4.7% | +16.1% | +6.0% | -1.6% | +4.9% | +4.0% | +5.2% | +0.4% | -8.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $650K | $647K | $660K | $669K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $966K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $849K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$650K to $966K
39.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$669K to $849K
23.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toms River | $752K | $837K | +11.3% | |
| Leisure Village East (Tract 715800) | $787K | $904K | +14.9% | |
| Leisure Village East (Tract 715201) | $723K | $813K | +12.4% | |
| Berkeley | $787K | $865K | +10.0% | |
| Leisure Village East (Tract 715503) | $785K | $859K | +9.4% | |
| Dover Beaches South | $755K | $810K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toms River | $752K | $837K | +11.3% | |
| Lacey | $366K | $454K | +24.2% | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | +18.9% | |
| Beachwood | $365K | $428K | +17.2% | |
| Leisure Village East | $502K | $584K | +16.3% | |
| Brick | $319K | $371K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toms River | $752K | $837K | $481K | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | $96K | |
| Manchester | $99K | $101K | $58K | |
| Manchester area | $111K | $118K | $54K | |
| Crestwood Village (Tract 720104) | $89K | $92K | $53K | |
| Crestwood Village (Tract 720102) | $113K | $115K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.