Ocean, NJ · ZIP 08742 · Census Tract 34029710102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$908K
Downside (P10)
$766K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$972K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.22M
+35% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +35%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Ocean markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $626K | $653K | $831K | $836K | $877K | $908K | $922K | $951K | $972K |
| YoY Change | +4.4% | +27.2% | +0.7% | +4.9% | +3.5% | +1.6% | +3.1% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $752K | $764K | $766K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$752K to $1.08M
35.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$766K to $1.22M
47.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point Pleasant Beach · 08742 · (Tract 7101.2) | $901K | $972K | +7.9% | |
| Point Pleasant Beach | $855K | $901K | +5.3% | |
| Leisure Village East | $837K | $930K | +11.1% | |
| Leisure Village East | $824K | $933K | +13.3% | |
| Berkeley area | $809K | $934K | +15.5% | |
| Surf City area | $1.02M | $1.08M | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point Pleasant Beach · 08742 · (Tract 7101.2) | $901K | $972K | +7.9% | |
| Lacey | $366K | $454K | +24.2% | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | +18.9% | |
| Beachwood | $365K | $428K | +17.2% | |
| Leisure Village East | $502K | $584K | +16.3% | |
| Brick | $319K | $371K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point Pleasant Beach · 08742 · (Tract 7101.2) | $901K | $972K | $457K | |
| Crestwood Village | $113K | $115K | $51K | |
| Crestwood Village | $89K | $92K | $53K | |
| Manchester area | $111K | $118K | $54K | |
| Manchester | $99K | $101K | $58K | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.