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Ocean, NJ · ZIP 08087 · Census Tract 34029736101 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$287K
Downside (P10)
$256K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$316K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$394K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $202K | $211K | $206K | $206K | $212K | $207K | $215K | $237K | $261K | $283K | $287K | $294K | $310K | $316K |
| YoY Change | +4.3% | -2.3% | +0.0% | +2.8% | -2.3% | +3.9% | +10.3% | +9.9% | +8.7% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +5.4% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $260K | $256K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $346K | $375K | $394K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$260K to $346K
29.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$256K to $394K
43.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor · Tuckerton · (Tract 7361.1) | $287K | $316K | +10.3% | |
| Brick | $293K | $320K | +9.1% | |
| Holiday City-Berkeley (Tract 731202) | $274K | $275K | +0.1% | |
| South Toms River | $303K | $339K | +11.7% | |
| Holiday City-Berkeley (Tract 731201) | $269K | $283K | +5.1% | |
| Manchester | $308K | $336K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor · Tuckerton · (Tract 7361.1) | $287K | $316K | +10.3% | |
| Lacey | $366K | $454K | +24.2% | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | +18.9% | |
| Beachwood | $365K | $428K | +17.2% | |
| Leisure Village East | $502K | $584K | +16.3% | |
| Brick | $319K | $371K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Egg Harbor · Tuckerton · (Tract 7361.1) | $287K | $316K | $138K | |
| Crestwood Village (Tract 720102) | $113K | $115K | $51K | |
| Crestwood Village (Tract 720104) | $89K | $92K | $53K | |
| Manchester area | $111K | $118K | $54K | |
| Manchester | $99K | $101K | $58K | |
| Pine Ridge at Crestwood | $138K | $165K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.