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Stark, ND · ZIP 58601 · Census Tract 38089963900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$454K
Downside (P10)
$382K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$473K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$609K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $255K | $270K | $305K | $323K | $334K | $331K | $353K | $389K | $394K | $444K | $454K | $451K | $477K | $473K |
| YoY Change | +5.9% | +12.8% | +5.9% | +3.5% | -1.0% | +6.8% | +10.3% | +1.2% | +12.7% | +2.1% | -0.6% | +5.7% | -1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $399K | $389K | $382K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $539K | $593K | $609K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$399K to $539K
31.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$382K to $609K
48.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North area · Dickinson · (Tract 9639) | $454K | $473K | +4.0% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | +12.2% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | +10.7% | |
| Dickinson North | $271K | $297K | +9.9% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963501) | $341K | $372K | +9.2% | |
| Dickinson North area | $300K | $324K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North area · Dickinson · (Tract 9639) | $454K | $473K | +4.0% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | +12.2% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | +10.7% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963700) | $228K | $251K | +10.2% | |
| East Stark | $222K | $245K | +10.2% | |
| Dickinson North | $271K | $297K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North area · Dickinson · (Tract 9639) | $454K | $473K | $227K | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | $148K | |
| Dickinson North area | $300K | $324K | $147K | |
| West Stark | $241K | $254K | $136K | |
| East Stark | $222K | $245K | $133K | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.