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Stark, ND · ZIP 58601 · Census Tract 38089963800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$274K
Downside (P10)
$237K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$297K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$412K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $208K | $213K | $215K | $212K | $218K | $205K | $222K | $250K | $263K | $274K | $282K | $287K | $297K | $274K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$108,031 | -$66,231 | -$61,331 | -$59,131 | -$62,331 | -$56,431 | -$69,331 | -$52,231 | -$24,631 | -$11,631 | +$7,237 | +$12,412 | +$22,893 | -$893 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.4% | -24.1% | -22.3% | -21.5% | -22.7% | -20.6% | -25.3% | -19.0% | -9.0% | -4.2% | +2.6% | +4.5% | +8.3% | -0.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $244K | $242K | $237K | $241K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $341K | $362K | $412K | $307K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$244K to $341K
34.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$241K to $307K
24.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North | $271K | $297K | +9.9% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | +12.2% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | +10.7% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963700) | $228K | $251K | +10.2% | |
| Dickinson North area | $300K | $324K | +8.2% | |
| West Stark | $241K | $254K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North | $271K | $297K | +9.9% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | +12.2% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | +10.7% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963700) | $228K | $251K | +10.2% | |
| East Stark | $222K | $245K | +10.2% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963501) | $341K | $372K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North | $271K | $297K | $175K | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | $148K | |
| Dickinson North area | $300K | $324K | $147K | |
| West Stark | $241K | $254K | $136K | |
| East Stark | $222K | $245K | $133K | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Stark, ND · ZIP 58601 · Census Tract 38089963800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$274K
Downside (P10)
$237K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$297K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$412K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $208K | $213K | $215K | $212K | $218K | $205K | $222K | $250K | $263K | $274K | $282K | $287K | $297K | $274K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$108,031 | -$66,231 | -$61,331 | -$59,131 | -$62,331 | -$56,431 | -$69,331 | -$52,231 | -$24,631 | -$11,631 | +$7,237 | +$12,412 | +$22,893 | -$893 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.4% | -24.1% | -22.3% | -21.5% | -22.7% | -20.6% | -25.3% | -19.0% | -9.0% | -4.2% | +2.6% | +4.5% | +8.3% | -0.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $244K | $242K | $237K | $241K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $341K | $362K | $412K | $307K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$244K to $341K
34.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$241K to $307K
24.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North | $271K | $297K | +9.9% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | +12.2% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | +10.7% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963700) | $228K | $251K | +10.2% | |
| Dickinson North area | $300K | $324K | +8.2% | |
| West Stark | $241K | $254K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North | $271K | $297K | +9.9% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | +12.2% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | +10.7% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963700) | $228K | $251K | +10.2% | |
| East Stark | $222K | $245K | +10.2% | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963501) | $341K | $372K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dickinson North | $271K | $297K | $175K | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963502) | $261K | $289K | $148K | |
| Dickinson North area | $300K | $324K | $147K | |
| West Stark | $241K | $254K | $136K | |
| East Stark | $222K | $245K | $133K | |
| Dickinson (Tract 963600) | $251K | $281K | $129K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
