What is the home price forecast for Parcel 38053962302 in Southeast McKenzie?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $449,566 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 38053962302 in Southeast McKenzie?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $449,566 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.3%.

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Parcel 38053962302 (Southeast McKenzie) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 38053962302, Southeast McKenzie Home Price Forecast

McKenzie, ND · ZIP 58634 · Census Tract 38053962302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$450K

Downside (P10)

$363K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$482K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$647K

+44% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$354K	$307K	$352K	$388K	$419K	$450K	$461K	$480K	$482K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$95,766	-$142,266	-$97,966	-$61,266	-$31,066		+$11,577	+$30,622	+$32,722
Growth % vs 2026	-21.3%	-31.6%	-21.8%	-13.6%	-6.9%		+2.6%	+6.8%	+7.3%
Downside (P10)							$378K	$378K	$363K
Upside (P90)							$535K	$565K	$647K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$378K to $535K

34.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$363K to $647K

58.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.3% · Spread: 59%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 38053962302, Southeast McKenzie on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).