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Stokes, NC · Census Tract 37169280006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$271K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$385K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$580K
+114% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +114%. The model forecasts this with 50% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $271K | $309K | $321K | $344K | $385K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$37,721 | +$49,607 | +$73,035 | +$113,653 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +13.9% | +18.3% | +26.9% | +41.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $241K | $227K | $223K | $232K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $431K | $473K | $499K | $580K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$241K to $431K
61.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$232K to $580K
90.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280006 | $271K | $385K | +41.9% | |
| Stokes | $231K | $325K | +41.0% | |
| Yadkin (Tract 070506) | $235K | $258K | +9.9% | |
| Yadkin (Tract 070400) | $220K | $235K | +7.0% | |
| Big Creek | $239K | $253K | +5.8% | |
| Yadkin (Tract 070503) | $249K | $250K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280006 | $271K | $385K | +41.9% | |
| Stokes (Tract 120001) | $377K | $567K | +50.5% | |
| Stokes (Tract 600000) | $231K | $325K | +41.0% | |
| Stokes (Tract 480000) | $405K | $567K | +40.0% | |
| Stokes (Tract 560001) | $493K | $620K | +25.8% | |
| Stokes (Tract 680004) | $430K | $540K | +25.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280006 | $271K | $385K | $348K | |
| Quaker Gap | $215K | $237K | $118K | |
| Beaver Island | $151K | $154K | $114K | |
| Yadkin | $220K | $235K | $97K | |
| Sauratown | $182K | $190K | $83K | |
| Peters Creek area | $190K | $192K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Stokes, NC · Census Tract 37169280006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$271K
Downside (P10)
$232K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$385K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$580K
+114% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +114%. The model forecasts this with 50% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $271K | $309K | $321K | $344K | $385K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$37,721 | +$49,607 | +$73,035 | +$113,653 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +13.9% | +18.3% | +26.9% | +41.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $241K | $227K | $223K | $232K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $431K | $473K | $499K | $580K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$241K to $431K
61.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$232K to $580K
90.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280006 | $271K | $385K | +41.9% | |
| Stokes | $231K | $325K | +41.0% | |
| Yadkin (Tract 070506) | $235K | $258K | +9.9% | |
| Yadkin (Tract 070400) | $220K | $235K | +7.0% | |
| Big Creek | $239K | $253K | +5.8% | |
| Yadkin (Tract 070503) | $249K | $250K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280006 | $271K | $385K | +41.9% | |
| Stokes (Tract 120001) | $377K | $567K | +50.5% | |
| Stokes (Tract 600000) | $231K | $325K | +41.0% | |
| Stokes (Tract 480000) | $405K | $567K | +40.0% | |
| Stokes (Tract 560001) | $493K | $620K | +25.8% | |
| Stokes (Tract 680004) | $430K | $540K | +25.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280006 | $271K | $385K | $348K | |
| Quaker Gap | $215K | $237K | $118K | |
| Beaver Island | $151K | $154K | $114K | |
| Yadkin | $220K | $235K | $97K | |
| Sauratown | $182K | $190K | $83K | |
| Peters Creek area | $190K | $192K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
