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Stokes, NC · ZIP 27043 · Census Tract 37169070400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$220K
Downside (P10)
$203K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$235K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$300K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $119K | $125K | $142K | $151K | $172K | $189K | $204K | $189K | $214K | $220K | $227K | $233K | $235K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$101,369 | -$101,169 | -$95,169 | -$78,269 | -$69,169 | -$47,569 | -$30,669 | -$16,469 | -$31,369 | -$6,069 | +$6,590 | +$13,371 | +$15,364 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.1% | -46.0% | -43.3% | -35.6% | -31.4% | -21.6% | -13.9% | -7.5% | -14.3% | -2.8% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +7.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $198K | $200K | $203K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $251K | $273K | $300K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$198K to $251K
23.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$203K to $300K
41.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadkin | $218K | $235K | +8.1% | |
| Stokes | $231K | $290K | +25.7% | |
| Quaker Gap | $207K | $237K | +14.1% | |
| Meadows | $205K | $232K | +13.2% | |
| Yadkin | $228K | $258K | +13.1% | |
| Big Creek | $228K | $253K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadkin | $218K | $235K | +8.1% | |
| Stokes (Tract 120001) | $377K | $508K | +34.7% | |
| Stokes (Tract 280006) | $271K | $344K | +26.9% | |
| Stokes (Tract 480000) | $405K | $511K | +26.2% | |
| Stokes (Tract 600000) | $231K | $290K | +25.7% | |
| Stokes (Tract 560001) | $493K | $577K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadkin | $218K | $235K | $97K | |
| Sauratown (Tract 070702) | $170K | $183K | $123K | |
| Quaker Gap | $207K | $237K | $118K | |
| Beaver Island | $149K | $154K | $114K | |
| Peters Creek area | $187K | $208K | $101K | |
| Sauratown (Tract 070701) | $183K | $190K | $83K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Stokes, NC · ZIP 27043 · Census Tract 37169070400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$220K
Downside (P10)
$203K
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$235K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$300K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $119K | $125K | $142K | $151K | $172K | $189K | $204K | $189K | $214K | $220K | $227K | $233K | $235K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$101,369 | -$101,169 | -$95,169 | -$78,269 | -$69,169 | -$47,569 | -$30,669 | -$16,469 | -$31,369 | -$6,069 | +$6,590 | +$13,371 | +$15,364 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.1% | -46.0% | -43.3% | -35.6% | -31.4% | -21.6% | -13.9% | -7.5% | -14.3% | -2.8% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +7.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $198K | $200K | $203K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $251K | $273K | $300K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$198K to $251K
23.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$203K to $300K
41.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadkin | $218K | $235K | +8.1% | |
| Stokes | $231K | $290K | +25.7% | |
| Quaker Gap | $207K | $237K | +14.1% | |
| Meadows | $205K | $232K | +13.2% | |
| Yadkin | $228K | $258K | +13.1% | |
| Big Creek | $228K | $253K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadkin | $218K | $235K | +8.1% | |
| Stokes (Tract 120001) | $377K | $508K | +34.7% | |
| Stokes (Tract 280006) | $271K | $344K | +26.9% | |
| Stokes (Tract 480000) | $405K | $511K | +26.2% | |
| Stokes (Tract 600000) | $231K | $290K | +25.7% | |
| Stokes (Tract 560001) | $493K | $577K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yadkin | $218K | $235K | $97K | |
| Sauratown (Tract 070702) | $170K | $183K | $123K | |
| Quaker Gap | $207K | $237K | $118K | |
| Beaver Island | $149K | $154K | $114K | |
| Peters Creek area | $187K | $208K | $101K | |
| Sauratown (Tract 070701) | $183K | $190K | $83K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
