Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Orange, NC · ZIP 27516 · Census Tract 37135010709 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$670K
Downside (P10)
$488K
-27% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$692K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.04M
+55% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -27% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $578K | $595K | $639K | $633K | $671K | $670K | $674K | $699K | $692K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$91,396 | -$74,696 | -$30,796 | -$37,196 | +$804 | +$4,173 | +$29,757 | +$22,500 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -13.6% | -11.2% | -4.6% | -5.6% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +4.4% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $555K | $515K | $488K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $820K | $867K | $1.0M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$555K to $820K
39.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$488K to $1.0M
79.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapel Hill | $676K | $692K | +2.4% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 011902) | $639K | $720K | +12.7% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 011904) | $710K | $789K | +11.2% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 011206) | $693K | $769K | +11.0% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 012103) | $692K | $719K | +3.9% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 012202) | $654K | $679K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapel Hill | $676K | $692K | +2.4% | |
| Cedar Grove | $331K | $391K | +18.4% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 010701) | $528K | $617K | +16.8% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 011500) | $988K | $1.15M | +16.5% | |
| Hillsborough | $374K | $433K | +15.7% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 010706) | $585K | $672K | +14.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapel Hill | $676K | $692K | $547K | |
| Cheeks (Tract 011105) | $283K | $306K | $170K | |
| Little River | $336K | $351K | $168K | |
| Chapel Hill | $298K | $320K | $165K | |
| Cheeks (Tract 011103) | $251K | $271K | $157K | |
| Cedar Grove | $255K | $280K | $157K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orange, NC · ZIP 27516 · Census Tract 37135010709 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$670K
Downside (P10)
$488K
-27% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$692K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.04M
+55% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -27% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $578K | $595K | $639K | $633K | $671K | $670K | $674K | $699K | $692K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$91,396 | -$74,696 | -$30,796 | -$37,196 | +$804 | +$4,173 | +$29,757 | +$22,500 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -13.6% | -11.2% | -4.6% | -5.6% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +4.4% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $555K | $515K | $488K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $820K | $867K | $1.0M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$555K to $820K
39.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$488K to $1.0M
79.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapel Hill | $676K | $692K | +2.4% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 011902) | $639K | $720K | +12.7% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 011904) | $710K | $789K | +11.2% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 011206) | $693K | $769K | +11.0% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 012103) | $692K | $719K | +3.9% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 012202) | $654K | $679K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapel Hill | $676K | $692K | +2.4% | |
| Cedar Grove | $331K | $391K | +18.4% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 010701) | $528K | $617K | +16.8% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 011500) | $988K | $1.15M | +16.5% | |
| Hillsborough | $374K | $433K | +15.7% | |
| Chapel Hill (Tract 010706) | $585K | $672K | +14.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapel Hill | $676K | $692K | $547K | |
| Cheeks (Tract 011105) | $283K | $306K | $170K | |
| Little River | $336K | $351K | $168K | |
| Chapel Hill | $298K | $320K | $165K | |
| Cheeks (Tract 011103) | $251K | $271K | $157K | |
| Cedar Grove | $255K | $280K | $157K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
