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Onslow, NC · ZIP 28460 · Census Tract 37133000403 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$600K
Downside (P10)
$525K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$656K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$885K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $378K | $316K | $298K | $318K | $295K | $287K | $341K | $439K | $505K | $553K | $600K | $622K | $636K | $656K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$222,806 | -$284,006 | -$302,006 | -$282,406 | -$305,606 | -$313,706 | -$259,606 | -$161,606 | -$95,306 | -$47,306 | +$21,691 | +$35,815 | +$55,727 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.1% | -47.3% | -50.3% | -47.0% | -50.9% | -52.2% | -43.2% | -26.9% | -15.9% | -7.9% | +3.6% | +6.0% | +9.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $542K | $535K | $525K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $720K | $761K | $885K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$542K to $720K
28.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$525K to $885K
54.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Topsail Beach | $566K | $656K | +15.9% | |
| White Oak | $352K | $400K | +13.8% | |
| Stump Sound | $340K | $378K | +11.1% | |
| Swansboro (Tract 002801) | $328K | $359K | +9.4% | |
| Camp Lejeune area | $336K | $361K | +7.4% | |
| Swansboro (Tract 000105) | $326K | $340K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Topsail Beach | $566K | $656K | +15.9% | |
| Richlands | $230K | $271K | +17.8% | |
| Piney Green | $212K | $248K | +16.9% | |
| Camp Lejeune area | $220K | $256K | +16.0% | |
| Jacksonville | $261K | $297K | +13.9% | |
| White Oak | $352K | $400K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Topsail Beach | $566K | $656K | $359K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001500) | $182K | $191K | $109K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002202) | $161K | $176K | $94K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001700) | $180K | $187K | $92K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000304) | $200K | $212K | $90K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002600) | $112K | $125K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Onslow, NC · ZIP 28460 · Census Tract 37133000403 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$600K
Downside (P10)
$525K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$656K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$885K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $378K | $316K | $298K | $318K | $295K | $287K | $341K | $439K | $505K | $553K | $600K | $622K | $636K | $656K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$222,806 | -$284,006 | -$302,006 | -$282,406 | -$305,606 | -$313,706 | -$259,606 | -$161,606 | -$95,306 | -$47,306 | +$21,691 | +$35,815 | +$55,727 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.1% | -47.3% | -50.3% | -47.0% | -50.9% | -52.2% | -43.2% | -26.9% | -15.9% | -7.9% | +3.6% | +6.0% | +9.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $542K | $535K | $525K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $720K | $761K | $885K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$542K to $720K
28.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$525K to $885K
54.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Topsail Beach | $566K | $656K | +15.9% | |
| White Oak | $352K | $400K | +13.8% | |
| Stump Sound | $340K | $378K | +11.1% | |
| Swansboro (Tract 002801) | $328K | $359K | +9.4% | |
| Camp Lejeune area | $336K | $361K | +7.4% | |
| Swansboro (Tract 000105) | $326K | $340K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Topsail Beach | $566K | $656K | +15.9% | |
| Richlands | $230K | $271K | +17.8% | |
| Piney Green | $212K | $248K | +16.9% | |
| Camp Lejeune area | $220K | $256K | +16.0% | |
| Jacksonville | $261K | $297K | +13.9% | |
| White Oak | $352K | $400K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Topsail Beach | $566K | $656K | $359K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001500) | $182K | $191K | $109K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002202) | $161K | $176K | $94K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001700) | $180K | $187K | $92K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000304) | $200K | $212K | $90K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002600) | $112K | $125K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
