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Onslow, NC · ZIP 28540 · Census Tract 37133000306 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$221K
Downside (P10)
$189K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$256K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$340K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $163K | $209K | $202K | $217K | $221K | $229K | $234K | $256K |
| YoY Change | -11.0% | +28.0% | -3.3% | +7.3% | +2.0% | +3.4% | +2.2% | +9.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $187K | $188K | $189K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $276K | $308K | $340K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$187K to $276K
38.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$189K to $340K
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Lejeune area | $220K | $256K | +16.0% | |
| Jacksonville | $218K | $241K | +10.5% | |
| Swansboro (Tract 002802) | $223K | $241K | +8.3% | |
| White Oak area | $215K | $228K | +6.1% | |
| Swansboro (Tract 002803) | $217K | $229K | +5.5% | |
| Richlands | $225K | $230K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Lejeune area | $220K | $256K | +16.0% | |
| Richlands | $230K | $271K | +17.8% | |
| Piney Green | $212K | $248K | +16.9% | |
| North Topsail Beach | $566K | $656K | +15.9% | |
| Jacksonville | $261K | $297K | +13.9% | |
| White Oak | $352K | $400K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Lejeune area | $220K | $256K | $151K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001500) | $182K | $191K | $109K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002202) | $161K | $176K | $94K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 001700) | $180K | $187K | $92K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 000304) | $200K | $212K | $90K | |
| Jacksonville (Tract 002600) | $112K | $125K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.