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Madison, NC · ZIP 28754 · Census Tract 37115010700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$271K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$288K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$458K
+69% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +69%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $173K | $204K | $170K | $216K | $224K | $217K | $251K | $274K | $262K | $271K | $277K | $285K | $288K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$104,688 | -$97,688 | -$67,088 | -$101,288 | -$55,188 | -$46,588 | -$54,088 | -$19,488 | +$3,612 | -$8,488 | +$6,246 | +$14,143 | +$17,367 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.7% | -36.1% | -24.8% | -37.4% | -20.4% | -17.2% | -20.0% | -7.2% | +1.3% | -3.1% | +2.3% | +5.2% | +6.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $233K | $229K | $224K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $353K | $409K | $458K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$233K to $353K
43.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$224K to $458K
81.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Beech Glenn | $268K | $288K | +7.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 240003) | $240K | $312K | +30.2% | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $239K | +27.3% | |
| 1, South Marshall area | $259K | $281K | +8.1% | |
| 10, Grapevine | $193K | $206K | +6.8% | |
| 2, Laurel | $332K | $348K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Beech Glenn | $268K | $288K | +7.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 880007) | $186K | $247K | +32.7% | |
| Madison (Tract 240003) | $240K | $312K | +30.2% | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $239K | +27.3% | |
| Madison (Tract 440104) | $186K | $232K | +24.3% | |
| Madison (Tract 161001) | $498K | $563K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Beech Glenn | $268K | $288K | $234K | |
| Madison (Tract 440104) | $186K | $232K | $175K | |
| 3, Mars Hill | $357K | $371K | $165K | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $239K | $160K | |
| 8, Spring Creek area | $154K | $161K | $87K | |
| 10, Grapevine | $193K | $206K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Madison, NC · ZIP 28754 · Census Tract 37115010700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$271K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$288K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$458K
+69% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +69%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $173K | $204K | $170K | $216K | $224K | $217K | $251K | $274K | $262K | $271K | $277K | $285K | $288K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$104,688 | -$97,688 | -$67,088 | -$101,288 | -$55,188 | -$46,588 | -$54,088 | -$19,488 | +$3,612 | -$8,488 | +$6,246 | +$14,143 | +$17,367 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.7% | -36.1% | -24.8% | -37.4% | -20.4% | -17.2% | -20.0% | -7.2% | +1.3% | -3.1% | +2.3% | +5.2% | +6.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $233K | $229K | $224K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $353K | $409K | $458K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$233K to $353K
43.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$224K to $458K
81.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Beech Glenn | $268K | $288K | +7.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 240003) | $240K | $312K | +30.2% | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $239K | +27.3% | |
| 1, South Marshall area | $259K | $281K | +8.1% | |
| 10, Grapevine | $193K | $206K | +6.8% | |
| 2, Laurel | $332K | $348K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Beech Glenn | $268K | $288K | +7.4% | |
| Madison (Tract 880007) | $186K | $247K | +32.7% | |
| Madison (Tract 240003) | $240K | $312K | +30.2% | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $239K | +27.3% | |
| Madison (Tract 440104) | $186K | $232K | +24.3% | |
| Madison (Tract 161001) | $498K | $563K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Beech Glenn | $268K | $288K | $234K | |
| Madison (Tract 440104) | $186K | $232K | $175K | |
| 3, Mars Hill | $357K | $371K | $165K | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $239K | $160K | |
| 8, Spring Creek area | $154K | $161K | $87K | |
| 10, Grapevine | $193K | $206K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
