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Madison, NC · Census Tract 37115880007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$175K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$279K
+50% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$409K
+120% by 2030
Base case: +50% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +120%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $186K | $224K | $232K | $247K | $279K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$37,623 | +$45,489 | +$60,838 | +$92,952 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +20.2% | +24.4% | +32.7% | +49.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $173K | $166K | $168K | $175K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $302K | $320K | $351K | $409K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$173K to $302K
57.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$175K to $409K
84.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $186K | $279K | +49.9% | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $264K | +40.6% | |
| Madison (Tract 240003) | $240K | $329K | +37.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 440104) | $186K | $253K | +35.5% | |
| 10, Grapevine | $193K | $206K | +6.6% | |
| 8, Spring Creek area | $156K | $161K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $186K | $279K | +49.9% | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $264K | +40.6% | |
| Madison (Tract 240003) | $240K | $329K | +37.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 440104) | $186K | $253K | +35.5% | |
| Madison (Tract 161001) | $498K | $593K | +19.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 360006) | $420K | $497K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $186K | $279K | $234K | |
| 1, South Marshall area | $264K | $281K | $191K | |
| 2, Laurel | $342K | $348K | $178K | |
| 3, Mars Hill | $361K | $371K | $165K | |
| 8, Spring Creek area | $156K | $161K | $87K | |
| 10, Grapevine | $193K | $206K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Madison, NC · Census Tract 37115880007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$175K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$279K
+50% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$409K
+120% by 2030
Base case: +50% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +120%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $186K | $224K | $232K | $247K | $279K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$37,623 | +$45,489 | +$60,838 | +$92,952 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +20.2% | +24.4% | +32.7% | +49.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $173K | $166K | $168K | $175K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $302K | $320K | $351K | $409K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$173K to $302K
57.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$175K to $409K
84.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $186K | $279K | +49.9% | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $264K | +40.6% | |
| Madison (Tract 240003) | $240K | $329K | +37.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 440104) | $186K | $253K | +35.5% | |
| 10, Grapevine | $193K | $206K | +6.6% | |
| 8, Spring Creek area | $156K | $161K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $186K | $279K | +49.9% | |
| Madison (Tract 440007) | $188K | $264K | +40.6% | |
| Madison (Tract 240003) | $240K | $329K | +37.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 440104) | $186K | $253K | +35.5% | |
| Madison (Tract 161001) | $498K | $593K | +19.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 360006) | $420K | $497K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 880007 | $186K | $279K | $234K | |
| 1, South Marshall area | $264K | $281K | $191K | |
| 2, Laurel | $342K | $348K | $178K | |
| 3, Mars Hill | $361K | $371K | $165K | |
| 8, Spring Creek area | $156K | $161K | $87K | |
| 10, Grapevine | $193K | $206K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
