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Guilford, NC · ZIP 27409 · Census Tract 37081016011 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$205K
Downside (P10)
$176K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$230K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$297K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $98K | $100K | $98K | $93K | $100K | $113K | $131K | $150K | $202K | $205K | $215K | $227K | $230K | $207K |
| YoY Change | +10.3% | +1.9% | -1.3% | -5.1% | +7.5% | +13.0% | +15.4% | +14.8% | +34.4% | +1.6% | +5.2% | +5.3% | +1.3% | -10.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $188K | $184K | $176K | $186K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $256K | $280K | $297K | $235K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$188K to $256K
31.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$186K to $235K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greensboro | $204K | $230K | +12.7% | |
| Jefferson | $201K | $233K | +15.9% | |
| Sumner (Tract 016702) | $206K | $233K | +13.1% | |
| High Point | $203K | $222K | +9.0% | |
| Sumner (Tract 016701) | $201K | $213K | +5.9% | |
| Fentress | $199K | $211K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greensboro | $204K | $230K | +12.7% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 010401) | $390K | $459K | +17.8% | |
| High Point (Tract 014409) | $181K | $211K | +16.7% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 016005) | $402K | $469K | +16.6% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 015704) | $384K | $446K | +16.4% | |
| High Point (Tract 016304) | $319K | $370K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greensboro | $204K | $230K | $121K | |
| High Point (Tract 013601) | $100K | $107K | $65K | |
| High Point (Tract 013900) | $114K | $120K | $65K | |
| High Point (Tract 013800) | $117K | $132K | $61K | |
| Greensboro (Tract 011500) | $109K | $115K | $56K | |
| Greensboro (Tract 012706) | $95K | $98K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.