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Guilford, NC · ZIP 27403 · Census Tract 37081010601 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$286K
Downside (P10)
$244K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$321K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$421K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $180K | $175K | $173K | $174K | $172K | $174K | $209K | $235K | $241K | $282K | $286K | $296K | $307K | $321K |
| YoY Change | -3.2% | -1.2% | +1.0% | -1.5% | +1.4% | +20.3% | +12.2% | +2.6% | +16.9% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +3.6% | +4.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $256K | $248K | $244K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $360K | $392K | $421K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$256K to $360K
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$244K to $421K
55.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greensboro | $284K | $321K | +13.0% | |
| Fentress | $282K | $319K | +12.9% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 016007) | $282K | $317K | +12.3% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 012504) | $295K | $328K | +11.1% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 016506) | $297K | $329K | +10.7% | |
| Deep River | $297K | $292K | -1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greensboro | $284K | $321K | +13.0% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 010401) | $390K | $459K | +17.8% | |
| High Point (Tract 014409) | $181K | $211K | +16.7% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 016005) | $402K | $469K | +16.6% | |
| Greensboro (Tract 015704) | $384K | $446K | +16.4% | |
| High Point (Tract 016304) | $319K | $370K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greensboro | $284K | $321K | $178K | |
| High Point (Tract 013601) | $100K | $107K | $65K | |
| High Point (Tract 013900) | $114K | $120K | $65K | |
| High Point (Tract 013800) | $117K | $132K | $61K | |
| Greensboro (Tract 011500) | $109K | $115K | $56K | |
| Greensboro (Tract 012706) | $95K | $98K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.