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Cass, MO · ZIP 64742 · Census Tract 29037061100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$324K
Downside (P10)
$254K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$347K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$445K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $164K | $166K | $174K | $181K | $174K | $219K | $233K | $254K | $266K | $317K | $324K | $324K | $333K | $347K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$159,931 | -$158,031 | -$149,831 | -$142,231 | -$149,431 | -$104,331 | -$90,931 | -$69,931 | -$57,731 | -$7,031 | +$774 | +$9,143 | +$23,728 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.4% | -48.8% | -46.3% | -44.0% | -46.2% | -32.2% | -28.1% | -21.6% | -17.8% | -2.2% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +7.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $283K | $273K | $254K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $402K | $433K | $445K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$283K to $402K
36.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$254K to $445K
55.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolan area | $318K | $347K | +9.2% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060308) | $307K | $354K | +15.5% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060306) | $333K | $365K | +9.6% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060309) | $312K | $335K | +7.4% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060305) | $319K | $339K | +6.5% | |
| West Peculiar | $302K | $319K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolan area | $318K | $347K | +9.2% | |
| Grand River | $353K | $408K | +15.5% | |
| Mount Pleasant | $126K | $146K | +15.5% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060308) | $307K | $354K | +15.5% | |
| Polk | $413K | $471K | +14.1% | |
| Raymore (Tract 061300) | $189K | $211K | +11.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolan area | $318K | $347K | $191K | |
| Dayton area | $271K | $300K | $134K | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 060202) | $214K | $233K | $128K | |
| Harrisonville (Tract 060904) | $212K | $212K | $127K | |
| Harrisonville (Tract 061400) | $209K | $208K | $122K | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 060100) | $126K | $146K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cass, MO · ZIP 64742 · Census Tract 29037061100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$324K
Downside (P10)
$254K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$347K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$445K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $164K | $166K | $174K | $181K | $174K | $219K | $233K | $254K | $266K | $317K | $324K | $324K | $333K | $347K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$159,931 | -$158,031 | -$149,831 | -$142,231 | -$149,431 | -$104,331 | -$90,931 | -$69,931 | -$57,731 | -$7,031 | +$774 | +$9,143 | +$23,728 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.4% | -48.8% | -46.3% | -44.0% | -46.2% | -32.2% | -28.1% | -21.6% | -17.8% | -2.2% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +7.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $283K | $273K | $254K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $402K | $433K | $445K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$283K to $402K
36.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$254K to $445K
55.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolan area | $318K | $347K | +9.2% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060308) | $307K | $354K | +15.5% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060306) | $333K | $365K | +9.6% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060309) | $312K | $335K | +7.4% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060305) | $319K | $339K | +6.5% | |
| West Peculiar | $302K | $319K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolan area | $318K | $347K | +9.2% | |
| Grand River | $353K | $408K | +15.5% | |
| Mount Pleasant | $126K | $146K | +15.5% | |
| Raymore (Tract 060308) | $307K | $354K | +15.5% | |
| Polk | $413K | $471K | +14.1% | |
| Raymore (Tract 061300) | $189K | $211K | +11.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolan area | $318K | $347K | $191K | |
| Dayton area | $271K | $300K | $134K | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 060202) | $214K | $233K | $128K | |
| Harrisonville (Tract 060904) | $212K | $212K | $127K | |
| Harrisonville (Tract 061400) | $209K | $208K | $122K | |
| Mount Pleasant (Tract 060100) | $126K | $146K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
