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Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55113 · Census Tract 27123042002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$296K
Downside (P10)
$261K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$335K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$449K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $172K | $176K | $193K | $206K | $224K | $236K | $275K | $274K | $283K | $296K | $314K | $327K | $335K | $296K |
| YoY Change | +2.1% | +1.9% | +9.7% | +7.0% | +8.6% | +5.2% | +16.6% | -0.4% | +3.5% | +4.6% | +6.1% | +3.9% | +2.6% | -11.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $242K | $245K | $261K | $262K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $374K | $404K | $449K | $338K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$242K to $374K
41.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$262K to $338K
25.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauderdale | $290K | $335K | +15.7% | |
| North St. Paul | $298K | $341K | +14.6% | |
| Mounds View | $298K | $341K | +14.5% | |
| St. Paul | $294K | $324K | +10.2% | |
| White Bear Lake | $296K | $306K | +3.6% | |
| St. Anthony | $296K | $304K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauderdale | $290K | $335K | +15.7% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauderdale | $290K | $335K | $188K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.