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Saint Paul, MN · ZIP 55109 · Census Tract 27123042602 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$296K
Downside (P10)
$244K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$341K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$459K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $172K | $172K | $181K | $192K | $193K | $214K | $226K | $260K | $278K | $292K | $296K | $312K | $329K | $341K |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | +5.1% | +6.3% | +0.6% | +10.6% | +5.7% | +15.1% | +6.9% | +5.1% | +1.4% | +5.4% | +5.5% | +3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $248K | $251K | $244K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $380K | $406K | $459K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$248K to $380K
42.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$244K to $459K
63.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North St. Paul | $298K | $341K | +14.6% | |
| St. Anthony | $296K | $304K | +2.6% | |
| White Bear Lake | $296K | $306K | +3.6% | |
| Mounds View | $298K | $341K | +14.5% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 032000) | $294K | $324K | +10.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030400) | $292K | $324K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North St. Paul | $298K | $341K | +14.6% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | +20.9% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034602) | $236K | $283K | +20.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 035700) | $738K | $880K | +19.2% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 043002) | $731K | $861K | +17.8% | |
| St. Paul (Tract 036900) | $272K | $320K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North St. Paul | $298K | $341K | $215K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031300) | $198K | $211K | $88K | |
| Little Canada | $161K | $160K | $90K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 030500) | $170K | $205K | $103K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 034204) | $173K | $190K | $105K | |
| St. Paul (Tract 031400) | $223K | $243K | $115K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.