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Cheboygan, MI · Census Tract 26031320005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$801K
Downside (P10)
$471K
-41% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$833K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.50M
+88% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -41% to +88%. The model forecasts this with 32% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $801K | $868K | $805K | $776K | $833K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$67,044 | +$4,158 | -$24,813 | +$31,642 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +8.4% | +0.5% | -3.1% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $630K | $509K | $476K | $471K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$630K to $1.2M
66.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$471K to $1.5M
124.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320005 | $801K | $833K | +3.9% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 120001) | $778K | $828K | +6.3% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 040000) | $821K | $831K | +1.2% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 800004) | $770K | $745K | -3.2% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 840006) | $783K | $726K | -7.3% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 880008) | $823K | $755K | -8.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320005 | $801K | $833K | +3.9% | |
| Burt area | $379K | $422K | +11.4% | |
| Grant area | $235K | $252K | +7.3% | |
| Benton area | $158K | $169K | +6.5% | |
| Cheboygan | $778K | $828K | +6.3% | |
| Nunda area | $185K | $196K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320005 | $801K | $833K | $1.03M | |
| Beaugrand area | $147K | $156K | $93K | |
| Benton area (Tract 960300) | $158K | $169K | $82K | |
| Hebron area | $239K | $234K | $63K | |
| Benton area (Tract 960401) | $240K | $240K | $55K | |
| Waverly area | $156K | $156K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cheboygan, MI · Census Tract 26031320005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$801K
Downside (P10)
$471K
-41% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$833K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.50M
+88% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -41% to +88%. The model forecasts this with 32% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $801K | $868K | $805K | $776K | $833K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$67,044 | +$4,158 | -$24,813 | +$31,642 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +8.4% | +0.5% | -3.1% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $630K | $509K | $476K | $471K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$630K to $1.2M
66.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$471K to $1.5M
124.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320005 | $801K | $833K | +3.9% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 120001) | $778K | $828K | +6.3% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 040000) | $821K | $831K | +1.2% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 800004) | $770K | $745K | -3.2% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 840006) | $783K | $726K | -7.3% | |
| Cheboygan (Tract 880008) | $823K | $755K | -8.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320005 | $801K | $833K | +3.9% | |
| Burt area | $379K | $422K | +11.4% | |
| Grant area | $235K | $252K | +7.3% | |
| Benton area | $158K | $169K | +6.5% | |
| Cheboygan | $778K | $828K | +6.3% | |
| Nunda area | $185K | $196K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 320005 | $801K | $833K | $1.03M | |
| Beaugrand area | $147K | $156K | $93K | |
| Benton area (Tract 960300) | $158K | $169K | $82K | |
| Hebron area | $239K | $234K | $63K | |
| Benton area (Tract 960401) | $240K | $240K | $55K | |
| Waverly area | $156K | $156K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
