Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Baltimore, MD · ZIP 21206 · Census Tract 24510270502 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$245K
Downside (P10)
$196K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$262K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$339K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $172K | $173K | $172K | $171K | $174K | $183K | $217K | $241K | $245K | $245K | $253K | $261K | $262K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -0.3% | +1.8% | +5.1% | +18.8% | +10.9% | +1.7% | +0.3% | +2.9% | +3.4% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $206K | $204K | $196K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $288K | $298K | $339K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$206K to $288K
32.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$196K to $339K
54.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21206 · (Tract 2705.2) | $245K | $262K | +7.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 260101) | $247K | $273K | +10.7% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 270702) | $247K | $270K | +9.3% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 130804) | $244K | $264K | +8.4% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 151000) | $247K | $266K | +7.4% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 270501) | $248K | $259K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21206 · (Tract 2705.2) | $245K | $262K | +7.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 280301) | $389K | $459K | +17.9% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160600) | $93K | $109K | +17.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 230100) | $463K | $542K | +17.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 110200) | $313K | $365K | +16.8% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 180300) | $219K | $256K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21206 · (Tract 2705.2) | $245K | $262K | $143K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 080301) | $84K | $93K | $45K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 200400) | $58K | $65K | $36K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160400) | $64K | $69K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.