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Baltimore, MD · ZIP 21211 · Census Tract 24510130803 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$261K
Downside (P10)
$208K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$288K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$430K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $179K | $183K | $189K | $208K | $214K | $222K | $231K | $231K | $244K | $261K | $258K | $276K | $288K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$90,807 | -$81,407 | -$77,207 | -$71,607 | -$52,607 | -$46,807 | -$38,707 | -$29,707 | -$29,907 | -$16,107 | -$2,437 | +$15,487 | +$27,283 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.9% | -31.2% | -29.6% | -27.5% | -20.2% | -18.0% | -14.9% | -11.4% | -11.5% | -6.2% | -0.9% | +5.9% | +10.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $217K | $210K | $208K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $347K | $394K | $430K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$217K to $347K
50.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$208K to $430K
77.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21211 · (Tract 1308.3) | $255K | $288K | +13.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 270101) | $259K | $286K | +10.5% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 270600) | $253K | $279K | +10.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 150701) | $268K | $295K | +10.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 210100) | $268K | $294K | +9.7% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 090200) | $258K | $276K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21211 · (Tract 1308.3) | $255K | $288K | +13.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160600) | $93K | $109K | +17.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 230100) | $463K | $542K | +17.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 110200) | $313K | $365K | +16.8% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 180300) | $219K | $256K | +16.7% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 060200) | $302K | $351K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21211 · (Tract 1308.3) | $255K | $288K | $222K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 080301) | $84K | $93K | $45K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 200400) | $58K | $65K | $36K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160400) | $64K | $69K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Baltimore, MD · ZIP 21211 · Census Tract 24510130803 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$261K
Downside (P10)
$208K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$288K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$430K
+65% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +65%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $170K | $179K | $183K | $189K | $208K | $214K | $222K | $231K | $231K | $244K | $261K | $258K | $276K | $288K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$90,807 | -$81,407 | -$77,207 | -$71,607 | -$52,607 | -$46,807 | -$38,707 | -$29,707 | -$29,907 | -$16,107 | -$2,437 | +$15,487 | +$27,283 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.9% | -31.2% | -29.6% | -27.5% | -20.2% | -18.0% | -14.9% | -11.4% | -11.5% | -6.2% | -0.9% | +5.9% | +10.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $217K | $210K | $208K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $347K | $394K | $430K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$217K to $347K
50.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$208K to $430K
77.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21211 · (Tract 1308.3) | $255K | $288K | +13.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 270101) | $259K | $286K | +10.5% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 270600) | $253K | $279K | +10.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 150701) | $268K | $295K | +10.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 210100) | $268K | $294K | +9.7% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 090200) | $258K | $276K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21211 · (Tract 1308.3) | $255K | $288K | +13.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160600) | $93K | $109K | +17.2% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 230100) | $463K | $542K | +17.0% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 110200) | $313K | $365K | +16.8% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 180300) | $219K | $256K | +16.7% | |
| Baltimore (Tract 060200) | $302K | $351K | +16.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore · 21211 · (Tract 1308.3) | $255K | $288K | $222K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 080301) | $84K | $93K | $45K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 200400) | $58K | $65K | $36K | |
| Baltimore (Tract 160400) | $64K | $69K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
